San Luis vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for San Luis vs. Toluca in the World Cup on August 25, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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San Luis
1
2
Aug 25, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Aug 25, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
San LuisASL
J. Gallardo (30')
Soccer ball icon
Paulinho (60')
Soccer ball icon
V. Arteaga (69')
Red Card icon
R. Najera (37')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ASL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces Paulinho
90'
Yellow Card
J. Guemez (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces O. Macias
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Guemez replaces R. Najera
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: Yan Phillipe replaces S. Salles-Lamonge
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: Leo Bonatini replaces F. Boli
69'
Red Card
V. Arteaga (Toluca) sent off for a second yellow card
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Baeza replaces A. Vega
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: I. Lopez replaces J. Angulo
63'
Yellow Card
V. Arteaga (Toluca) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: V. Arteaga replaces F. Amaya
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho
1-2
57'
Yellow Card
Vitinho (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
57'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by R. Najera
1-1
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Gallardo, assisted by J. Angulo
0-1

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San Luis vs. Toluca: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' San Luis vs. Toluca prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: San Luis vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, August 25, 2024
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Luis +525, Toluca -210, draw +370

Dimers' win probabilities

  • San Luis: 14.1%
  • Toluca: 69.0%
  • Draw: 16.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is San Luis 1-2 Toluca.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 69.0%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' San Luis vs. Toluca prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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