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Read Article Braves vs. Marlins prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins predictions for MLB Monday.
MLB action continues on Monday at 6:40 PM ET as the Atlanta Braves lock horns with the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park.
The Marlins will start Max Meyer (3-0, 3.21 ERA), while the Braves will counter with JR Ritchie (1-0, 3.32 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Marlins a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Braves.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's Braves vs. Marlins matchup, including best bets and picks.
Braves vs. Marlins prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB matchup between the Braves and Marlins, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Marlins a 51% chance of defeating the Braves.
According to our model, the 8.5-run over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Braves vs. Marlins odds [5/18/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Braves | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -104 | -112 |
| Total | o8.5 (-105) | u8.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Braves vs. Marlins picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Braves | -104 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Braves vs. Marlins game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB action between the Marlins and Braves at loanDepot park is scheduled to start at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
- Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: loanDepot park
Conclusion
We predict the Marlins, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Braves in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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