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Read Article MLB picks today: Memorial Day MLB best bets include Astros vs. Rangers play [5/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Monday, May 25, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for Memorial Day are here, with Astros vs. Rangers and Angels vs. Tigers among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s MLB action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest baseball odds to uncover real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets tonight [5/25, updated 8:57PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Monday, May 25, 2026.
Astros vs. Rangers over 8.5 runs (+104)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 54.6%
- Matchup: Astros vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Tuesday)
Our model has identified value on over 8.5 runs in Astros vs. Rangers at +104 odds. A 54.6% probability produces an edge of 5.6%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Tigers -1.5 (+174)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 41.8%
- Matchup: Angels vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
Tigers -1.5 carries a 5.3% edge and a probability of 41.8% at +174 odds, according to our model.
Twins vs. White Sox over 7.5 runs (-106)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Matchup: Twins vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
Twins vs. White Sox over 7.5 runs at -106 odds shows a 5.3% edge, supported by a 56.8% probability in simulations.
Braves vs. Red Sox over 8.5 runs (+108)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 53.2%
- Matchup: Braves vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
A 5.2% edge and 53.2% probability make Braves vs. Red Sox over 8.5 runs at a value play in the Braves vs. Red Sox matchup, per our model.
Angels vs. Tigers over 8.5 runs (+102)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 54.2%
- Matchup: Angels vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
Angels vs. Tigers over 8.5 runs at +102 odds presents a 4.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.2%.
Royals ML (+182)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 40.2%
- Matchup: Yankees vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
Our model finds value on Royals to win at +182 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.
Royals +1.5 (+111)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 52%
- Matchup: Yankees vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
Our model has uncovered value on Royals +1.5 at +111 odds. A 52% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Rays vs. Orioles over 8.5 runs (-111)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Matchup: Rays vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET, Tuesday)
A 4.2% edge on a 56.7% probability makes over 8.5 runs at -111 odds a solid value play in today's Rays vs. Orioles matchup.
Nationals vs. Guardians over 7.5 runs (-106)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 55.1%
- Matchup: Nationals vs. Guardians (6:10PM ET, Tuesday)
Our model projects value on over 7.5 runs at -106 odds. A 55.1% probability produces a 3.6% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.
Yankees vs. Royals over 9.5 runs (+133)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 46.2%
- Matchup: Yankees vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Yankees vs. Royals over 9.5 runs at +133 odds shows a 46.2% probability and a 3.2% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Monday, 5/25/2026
As of 8:57PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros vs. Rangers | Over 8.5 Runs | +104 @ Kalshi | 5.6% | 54.6% |
| Angels vs. Tigers | Tigers -1.5 | +174 @ Polymarket | 5.3% | 41.8% |
| Twins vs. White Sox | Over 7.5 Runs | -106 @ Polymarket | 5.3% | 56.8% |
| Braves vs. Red Sox | Over 8.5 Runs | +108 @ Polymarket | 5.2% | 53.2% |
| Angels vs. Tigers | Over 8.5 Runs | +102 @ Polymarket | 4.7% | 54.2% |
| Yankees vs. Royals | Royals ML | +182 @ Polymarket | 4.7% | 40.2% |
| Yankees vs. Royals | Royals +1.5 | +111 @ Polymarket | 4.5% | 52% |
| Rays vs. Orioles | Over 8.5 Runs | -111 @ Polymarket | 4.2% | 56.7% |
| Nationals vs. Guardians | Over 7.5 Runs | -106 @ Polymarket | 3.6% | 55.1% |
| Yankees vs. Royals | Over 9.5 Runs | +133 @ Polymarket | 3.2% | 46.2% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [5/25/2026]
- Rockies vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET, Monday)
- Mariners vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Monday)
- Nationals vs. Guardians (6:10PM ET, Tuesday)
- Rays vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET, Tuesday)
- Angels vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Braves vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
- Cardinals vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Twins vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Yankees vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Astros vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Tuesday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for May 25, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Astros vs. Rangers matchup and Tigers -1.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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