Jul 9, 2026
Royals vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [7/9/2026]
Read Article Red Sox vs. White Sox prediction: Why White Sox are favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [7/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Chicago White Sox will take on the Boston Red Sox, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Rate Field on Thursday, starting at 2:10 PM ET.
The White Sox will start Anthony Kay (6-3, 4.29 ERA), pitting him against Patrick Sandoval (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for the Red Sox.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the White Sox a slight edge with a 51.5% win probability over the Red Sox.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's Red Sox vs. White Sox matchup, including best bets and picks.
Red Sox vs. White Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB game between the Red Sox and White Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the White Sox a 51.5% chance of beating the Red Sox.
According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 64.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 53.4% chance of staying under,.
Red Sox vs. White Sox odds [7/9/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Sox | White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-200) | -1.5 (+165) |
| Moneyline | +106 | -108 |
| Total | o9.5 (+120) | u9.5 (-127) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. White Sox picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | White Sox -1.5 | novig+165 |
| Moneyline | Red Sox | novig+106 |
| Total | Over 9.5 | +120 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. White Sox game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the White Sox and Red Sox at Rate Field is scheduled to begin at 2:10 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox
- Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
- Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
- Venue: Rate Field
Conclusion
We predict the White Sox, with a 51.5% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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