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Read Article MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Angels vs. Rangers play [7/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Thursday, July 9, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for July 9, 2026 are here, with Angels vs. Rangers and Guardians vs. Twins among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s MLB action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to uncover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [7/9, updated 2:20AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, July 9, 2026.
Angels vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs (+125)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 52.1%
- Matchup: Angels vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Angels vs. Rangers at +125 odds. A 52.1% probability produces an edge of 7.7%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Twins ML (+117)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 50.1%
- Matchup: Guardians vs. Twins (1:40PM ET)
Twins ML carries a 4.0% edge and a probability of 50.1% at +117 odds, according to our model.
Twins +1.5 (-138)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 61.4%
- Matchup: Guardians vs. Twins (1:40PM ET)
Twins +1.5 vs. Guardians at -138 odds shows a 3.4% edge, supported by a 61.4% probability in simulations.
Guardians vs. Twins over 8.5 runs (-108)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Matchup: Guardians vs. Twins (1:40PM ET)
A 3.4% edge and 55.3% probability make Guardians vs. Twins over 8.5 runs a value play in the Guardians vs. Twins matchup, per our model.
Reds +1.5 (-106)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 54.3%
- Matchup: Phillies vs. Reds (7:10PM ET)
Reds +1.5 at -106 odds presents a 2.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.3%.
Reds ML (+153)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 42.1%
- Matchup: Phillies vs. Reds (7:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Reds to win at +153 odds, supported by an edge of 2.6%.
Diamondbacks ML (+117)
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 48.5%
- Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Diamondbacks-Padres to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +117 odds. A 48.5% probability produces a 2.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Marlins ML (+133)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 45.2%
- Matchup: Mariners vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)
A 2.3% edge on a 45.2% probability makes Marlins to win at +133 odds a solid value play in today's Mariners vs. Marlins matchup.
Braves vs. PiratesOver 9.5 runs (+104)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 51.3%
- Matchup: Braves vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET)
Our model projects value on Over 9.5 runs at +104 odds. A 51.3% probability produces a 2.3% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Over 8.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 52.2%
- Matchup: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Brewers vs. Cardinals Over 8.5 runs at +100 odds shows a 52.2% probability and a 2.2% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Thursday, 7/9/2026
As of 2:20AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angels vs. Rangers | Over 7.5 runs | +125 @ Novig | 7.7% | 52.1% |
| Guardians vs. Twins | Twins ML | +117 @ Novig | 4.0% | 50.1% |
| Guardians vs. Twins | Twins +1.5 | -138 @ Polymarket | 3.4% | 61.4% |
| Guardians vs. Twins | Over 8.5 runs | -108 @ Novig | 3.4% | 55.3% |
| Phillies vs. Reds | Reds +1.5 | -106 @ Novig | 2.9% | 54.3% |
| Phillies vs. Reds | Reds ML | +153 @ Novig | 2.6% | 42.1% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Padres | Diamondbacks ML | +117 @ Polymarket | 2.4% | 48.5% |
| Mariners vs. Marlins | Marlins ML | +133 @ Novig | 2.3% | 45.2% |
| Braves vs. Pirates | Over 9.5 Runs | +104 @ Novig | 2.3% | 51.3% |
| Brewers vs. Cardinals | Over 8.5 Runs | +100 @ Novig | 2.2% | 52.2% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/9/2026]
- Braves vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET, Thursday)
- Royals vs. Mets (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
- Cubs vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET, Thursday)
- Guardians vs. Twins (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Red Sox vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET, Thursday)
- Athletics vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Mariners vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Phillies vs. Reds (7:10PM ET, Thursday)
- Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Thursday)
- Angels vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Thursday)
- D-Backs vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 9, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Angels vs. Rangers matchup and Twins ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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