Yankees vs. Royals prediction: Yankees favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/25/2026]
Get New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals predictions for MLB Monday.

The Kansas City Royals and New York Yankees will meet in MLB action at Kauffman Stadium on Monday, starting at 3:40 PM ET.
Michael Wacha (4-2, 2.70 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Royals, pitting him against Will Warren (6-1, 3.61 ERA) for the Yankees.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Yankees as the most likely winner of the Yankees vs. Royals game.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Royals prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Yankees a 56% chance of beating the Royals.
According to our model, the Royals (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of nine runs has a 53% chance of going over.
Yankees vs. Royals odds [5/25/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+108) | +1.5 (-127) |
| Moneyline | -154 | +130 |
| Total | o9 (-111) | u9 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Royals picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Royals +1.5 | -127 |
| Moneyline | Royals | +130 |
| Total | Over 9 | -111 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Royals game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB action between the Royals and Yankees at Kauffman Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:40 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
- Date: Monday, May 25, 2026
- Time: 3:40 PM ET/12:40PM PT
- Venue: Kauffman Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Royals in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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