Rays vs. Orioles prediction: Tampa Bay favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/25/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles predictions for MLB Monday.

Tampa Bay Rays-Baltimore Orioles Predictions and Game Preview.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB prediction for Monday, May 25, 2026.

The Baltimore Orioles will square off with the Tampa Bay Rays, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday, beginning at 1:35 PM ET.

The Orioles will send Kyle Bradish (2-6, 4.13 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Shane McClanahan (5-2, 2.82 ERA) for the Rays.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Rays a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Orioles.

This article offers further insights into Monday's Rays vs. Orioles matchup, including best bets and picks.

Rays vs. Orioles prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB game between the Rays and Orioles, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Rays a 52% chance of defeating the Orioles.

According to our model, the Orioles (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 55% chance of going over.

 

Rays vs. Orioles odds [5/25/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Rays Orioles
Run Line -1.5 (+134) +1.5 (-150)
Moneyline -126 +115
Total o7.5 (-115) u7.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Rays vs. Orioles picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Orioles +1.5 -150
Moneyline Orioles +115
Total Over 7.5 -115

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Rays vs. Orioles game-day updates and essential details

Monday's MLB action between the Orioles and Rays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to begin at 1:35 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Rays, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Orioles in Monday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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