2021 PGA Tour FedEx Cup Final TOUR Championship Golf Picks, Predictions, Odds and Best Bets

Last updated: Dec 20, 2023, 12:03PM | Published: Aug 30, 2021, 10:43PM

An enthralling season of golf comes to and end this week with the 2021 TOUR Championship on Thursday morning at the East Lake Golf Course, Atlanta, Georgia. As with every event on the golf schedule, we've got three outright winner picks, ranging from a couple of favorites to some mega value!

We've gone through this week's TOUR Championship and found three guys that we like to win this week's golf tournament, varying from one of the top favorites, who still represents good value, down to some nice value on a couple of stars that look set for big weeks at longer odds! We also show you the best sportsbook promos to play.

We're down to the final 30 players, with everyone beginning the week with 'Starting Strokes' based on their performance throughout the season. Scroll down to see how everyone is starting the week, beginning with Patrick Cantlay a 10-under par!

After recently picking Garrick Higgo to win the Palmetto Championship at 40/1 and Xander to win gold at the Olympics, we're confident of another outright winner here!

With crowds returning and a host of big names out there, we're set for an awesome four days of golf ... and betting! As we do each and every tournament, we provide you with our best golf picks for outright winner, as well as some in-play picks throughout.

2021 TOUR Championship Starting Strokes

-10	Patrick Cantlay
-8	Tony Finau
-7	Bryson DeChambeau
-6	Jon Rahm
-5	Cameron Smith
-4	Justin Thomas, Harris English, Abraham Ancer, Jordan Spieth, Sam Burns
-3	Collin Morikawa, Sungjae Im, Viktor Hovland, Louis Oosthuizen, Dustin Johnson
-2	Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Jason Kokrak, Kevin Na, Brooks Koepka
-1	Corey Conners, Hideki Matsuyama, Stewart Cink, Joaquin Niemann, Scottie Scheffler
Even par	Daniel Berger, Erik van Rooyen, Sergio Garcia, Billy Horschel, Patrick Reed

Let's get into our best bets for this week ⬇️

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Best Golf Predictions

2021 TOUR Championship Best Pick

Jon Rahm +400 (4/1)
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As you can see above, Jon Rahm enters this week four shots behind leader Patrick Cantlay, with Tony Finau and Bryson DeChambeau also ahead of the Spaniard.

Despite starting the week in fourth place, Rahm is the second favorite in the betting, with sportsbooks and bettors alike believing he will make a surge.

Rahm is the best player in the world right now and it would be fitting for him to take out the TOUR Championship in a year that has seen him cement himself with his first major victory at the US Open.

Rahm is also no stranger to performing at this time of year, having won the 2020 BMW Championship and falling just short of the TOUR Championship after a disappointing 74 on the Friday.

I expect him to never be more than four shots off the pace this week, with the superstar 26-year-old taking over the lead some time on the weekend before holding on for victory.

Check out that 2020 BMW Championship win here👇

2021 TOUR Championship Value Pick

Cameron Smith +2500 (25/1)
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Aussie Cam Smith has enjoyed his best season on the PGA Tour yet, which in turn is being rewarded with a 5-under start this week, ahead of 25 guys in the field.

Despite entering the week in fifth place, Smith's odds are way longer than the top four, with the fourth favorite for the week being Tony Finau at +700, whilst Justin Thomas and Dustin Johnson also have better odds than than him.

Simply put, his starting position combined with his odds means that he has to be the value bet this week, with the 28-year-old out to take down the world's biggest names.

Smith has won once already this season and finished in the Top-10 eight times, with his best stats being second in birdies per round, third in sand save percentage, first in putts per round and first in shots gained: approach from 100-125 yards.

If you need any more reason to root for Smith this week, this was his response to being asked what he would do with the $15 million fist prize - "I'm good with what I've got. I don't know what I'd do, to be honest. Maybe some more fishing equipment."

Check out this ridiculous putting effort from Smith here👇

2021 TOUR Championship Dark Horse

Collin Morikawa +4000 (40/1)
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So, last week's article pushed Collin Morikawa as the top pick of the week at +1800 and boy, did he disappoint. But now, as we look ahead to the TOUR Championship, we're back on him.

Collin is undeniably one of the most talented golfers on the planet and he won't be happy with his output last week.

The 24-year old doesn't miss the cut much, but when he does, he more often than not, bounces back strongly, including the two times he missed in 2020, with the following events seeing him finish 1st and T20. Last week was a non-cut event, but his performance would've easily seen him miss the weekend on any other week.

Of course, Morikawa is starting a long way back this week, but of the guys starting 3-under or worse, he presents the best value at +4000 (DJ is +2000 starting at the same score) and good days on Thursday and Friday to get him in contention are certainly not out of the question.

If you're looking for a slightly different play, PointsBet has him at +2000 to post the best 72-hole score (not including handicap) which also presents great value!

Check out that Open Championship win here👇

2021 PGA Tour Dark Horse Picks:

Sungjae Im @ Sentry TOC – T5 (Top 5)
Marc Leishman @ Sony Open – T4 (Top 5)
Cameron Champ @ AmEx – CUT
Corey Conners @ Farmers – T37
Jason Day @ Phoenix – CUT
Harold Varner @ Pebble – CUT
Cameron Smith @ Genesis – 4th (Top 5)
Collin Morikawa @ WGC Workday – WIN
Marc Leishman @ AP Invitational – CUT
Tommy Fleetwood @ PLAYERS - CUT
J.T. Poston @ Honda - CUT
Rafa Campos @ Texas - T34
Marc Leishman @ Masters - T5 (Top 5)
Luke Donald @ Heritage - CUT
Hoffman/Watney @ Zurich - T11
Charley Hoffman @ Valspar - T18
Jason Day @ Wells Fargo - CUT
Harris English @ Byron Nelson - T13
Tony Finau @ PGA Champ - T8
Harry Higgs @ Charles Schwab - CUT
Joaquin Niemann @ Memorial - CUT
Kristoffer Ventura @ Palmetto - CUT
Charley Hoffman @ US Open - T56
Cameron Smith @ Travelers - T30
Cameron Champ @ RMC - CUT
Francesco Molinari @ Scottish - CUT
Robert MacIntyre @ The Open - T8
J.T. Poston @ 3M Open - T28
Si Woo Kim @ Olympics - T32
Sungae Im @ St. Jude - T46
Dylan Frittelli @ Wyndham - CUT
Adam Scott @ Northern Trust - CUT
Joaquin Niemann @ BMW - T29

As you can see, we've now had five dark horses place in the Top-5 this season, including an outright winner!

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Ryan Leaver

Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver has long been entrenched in the world of sports and sports betting, now specializing in the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. His passion shines through in his detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles for both the NBA and NFL, along with his sharp prop bets for college football and insightful best bets for college basketball. Ryan’s expertise also extends to soccer, where he frequently offers practical betting tips and highlights the bets of the day.

Known for his keen eye for valuable betting promos, Ryan adeptly guides bettors toward opportunities that enhance their wagering experiences. Collaborating often with DimersBOT, his articles are meticulously researched and offer savvy betting advice, making him a trusted source for sports bettors.

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