We're back to regularly scheduled programming this week, with the TOUR heading back to the standard stroke play format at the Valspar Championship.
After a lesser field took the course two weeks ago at Heritage, plenty of the world's top players are back on the card this week, including Dustin Johnson and Justin Thomas.
Despite the fact that these two are the best guys in the field this week, we're opting to fade them and take some value higher up the board.
Let's get into the bets for this week ⬇️
Valspar Championship Promo Play💰
Two superstars in the Top-10!
Before we get into our outright winner picks, it would be remiss of us to not let you in on this offer from PointsBet! You can get BOOSTED +550 odds for both Justin Thomas and Dustin Johnson to finish in the Top-10 this week. Both guys have already won this season, with JT finishing in the Top-10 five times and DJ doing so four times.
🏌️♂️ Outright winner picks
Valspar Championship Top Pick🏆
If you've been following Dimers or listening to the Tail and Print podcast for any amount of time, you'll know that we've got some big Sungjae fans in the cohort.
Im hasn't been at his best the past few weeks despite a T13 at Heritage and will likely see this is a week where he can bounce back into contention.
Before the Masters, the South Korean had gone nine straight stroke play events without missing the cut, which is something he very much takes pride in.
The fact that he's now gone a year without a win - coupled with his generally consistent form and a T4 finish here last time - means that Sungjae Im is our top pick for the 2021 Valspar Championship.
Check out some of Sungjae Im's greatest shots here👇
Zurich Classic Value Bet💰
Bet $10, win $350 with BetMGM
🚨 Cut maker KING 🚨 Joaquin Niemann currently holds the second longest consecutive made cuts on the PGA Tour (behind only Jon Rahm) with a ridiculous sixteen (16!!) consecutive tournaments where he's made the weekend.
Frankly when someone is putting themself in these postitions week after week, a win can only be so far away.
Niemann kicked off the calendar year with back-to-back second-place finishes and unsurprisingly finds himself in 16th place on the FedEx Cup Standings.
At 35/1, the 22-year-old Chilean provides way too much value this week on a course that should suit his style well.
Check out some winning Niemann highlights here👇
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Valspar Championship Dark Horse🔮
Rarely do we pick the same guy on back-to-back weeks, but Charley Hoffman's form is still just too good to ignore.
Want some golf picks in your ears? Check out the Tail and Print Podcast.
After an 11th placed finish at Zurich, Hoffman finds himself at 28th in the FedEx Cup race, with his results before last week reading as follows: T18, 2nd, T34, T17, T10, T52 and T7!
Charley now has eight straight events without a missed cut, including three Top-10s which is a great run in anyone's books.
Check out one of Hoffman's most impressive rounds here👇
2021 Dark Horse record:
Sungjae Im @ Sentry TOC – T5 (Top 5)
Marc Leishman @ Sony Open – T4 (Top 5)
Cameron Champ @ AmEx – CUT
Corey Conners @ Farmers – T37
Jason Day @ Phoenix – CUT
Harold Varner @ Pebble – CUT
Cameron Smith @ Genesis – 4th (Top 5)
Collin Morikawa @ WGC Workday – WIN
Marc Leishman @ AP Invitational – CUT
Tommy Fleetwood @ PLAYERS - CUT
J.T. Poston @ Honda - CUT
Rafa Campos @ Texas - T34
Marc Leishman @ Masters - T5 (Top 5)
Luke Donald @ Heritage - CUT
Hoffman/Watney @ Zurich - T11
As you can see, we've now had five dark horses place in the Top-5 this season, including an outright winner!
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