The TOUR heads to Concession Golf Course this week, with the best players in the world looking for a win on a course that looks set to test those that don't prepare accordingly.
With the setup this week looking to favor the best players and punish those that don't have every part of their game going, our picks will reflect just that with a few recent major winners on our betting cards.
Data-led probabilities for the winner, Top 5, Top 10 and Top 20 after simulating the tournament 10,000 times!
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Looking ahead to our picks for the week now, we’ve once again gone with three outright winner plays, ranging from the outright favorite to a couple of value plays.
🏌️♂️ Outright winner picks
🏆 Top Pick:
Dustin Johnson (+600 or 6/1)
Rarely do we put forward a +600 favorite in the golf, but it's simply too hard to look past DJ in this tournament.
The World No. 1 is playing unbelievable golf right now, and has won this exact tournament three times, including as recently as 2019, making him our top pick for the 2021 WGC Workday Championship.
DJ thrives in tough conditions, and combining that with this course favoring the bombers, he should find himself right in contention with a win looking good, even at these crazy short odds.
Check out the highlights from his final round at the 2020 Masters here👇
🤑 PointsBet offer:
Cam Smith Top Aussie 🇦🇺
With each golf tournament comes great promo offers from the sportsbooks and this week is no exception, with the chance to bet one of our Dimers' favorites, Cam Smith!
We put forward Smith as our dark horse play last week, with the mulleted man rewarding us with a 4th place finish!
PointsBet is offering you the chance to bet on Smith to be the highest placed Australian this week at boosted odds of +350.
💰 Value Bet:
Bryson DeChambeau (+1900 or 19/1)
The second bet hitter and major winner in our picks this week, Bryson DeChambeau finds himself at some tasty odds this week after missing the cut at last week's Genesis.
The Big Golfer was in great touch after the return to play last season, leading the TOUR in strokes gained for both driving and putting.
With a premium on driving this week, it's hard to see Bryson failing for a second week in a row, making his 19/1 odds look way overs.
If you need any more convincing, this video should help 👇
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🔮 Dark Horse:
Collin Morikawa (+4600 or 46/1)
2020 saw three major winners crowned, with all three featuring in our picks this week, rounded out by PGA Champion, Collin Morikawa.
The young crop of Morikawa, Hovland, Scheffler, Im etc. look to have the future in golf in good hands, and with a major under his belt already, Morikawa will be eyeing off 2021 as a year to continuing leading this group.
Another golfer who shines in tough conditions (see below), Morikawa is due to win soon and at 46/1 odds, it's impossible to pass up on him!
Check out the highlights from his monstrous PGA Championship win here 👇
2021 dark horse record:
As you can see, we've now had three dark horses place in the Top-5 this season, rewarding bettors big time as we always recommend playing these guys to finish Top-20, Top-10 and Top-5 as well as outright!
🏌️ MORE GOLF: Puerto Rico Open Preview and Bets
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