Jul 9, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, July 9, 2026
Read Article Storm vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [7/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Seattle Storm vs Atlanta Dream predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Atlanta Dream and Seattle Storm are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Gateway Center Arena on Thursday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Dream as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Dream game.
The Dream, powered by Rhyne Howard, Allisha Gray and Angel Reese, will face off against the Storm, whose lineup includes Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Awa Fam.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Storm vs. Dream prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA game between the Storm and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Dream a 78.2% chance of defeating the Storm.
According to our model, the Storm (+10.5) have a 58.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 167.5-point over/under has a 57.0% chance of staying under,.
Storm vs. Dream odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Storm | Dream |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10.5 (+100) | -10.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +440 | -441 |
| Total | o167.5 (-106) | u167.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Storm vs. Dream picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm +10.5 | novig+100 |
| Moneyline | Storm | bet_rivers_in+440 |
| Total | Under 167.5 | novig+100 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm +10.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Dream player props
WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the Storm vs. Dream matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gateway Center Arena.
Dominique Malonga is expected to lead the Storm with 14 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists, while Rhyne Howard is projected to have 17 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Dream.
When evaluating the first basket market, Dominique Malonga is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.9% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Storm prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Malonga | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 32 |
| N. Hiedeman | 14 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 27 |
| Awa Fam | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 29 |
| F. Johnson | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| Jade Melbourne | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
Dream prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| Allisha Gray | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Angel Reese | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 43 |
| Jordin Canada | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 33 |
| Naz Hillmon | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
Storm vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Dream and Storm at Gateway Center Arena is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream
- Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Gateway Center Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Dream, with a 78.2% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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