Jul 8, 2026
WNBA player props today: Wednesday's best props include Aliyah Boston [7/8/2026]
Read Article Lynx vs. Sun prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Connecticut Sun and Minnesota Lynx will meet in the WNBA at Mohegan Sun Arena on Wednesday, with tipoff at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Sun game.
The Sun, powered by Brittney Griner, Leila Lacan and Olivia Nelson-Ododa, are set to take on the Lynx, whose lineup includes Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams and Natasha Howard.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Lynx and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Lynx a 73.4% chance of beating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+7.5) have a 53.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 168.5 points has a 63.0% chance of staying under,.
Lynx vs. Sun odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lynx | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-102) | +7.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -290 | +260 |
| Total | o168.5 (-106) | u168.5 (-116) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Sun picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +7.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Lynx | -290 |
| Total | Under 168.5 | -116 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 168.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Sun player props
WNBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Lynx vs. Sun game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Kayla McBride is expected to lead the Lynx with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Brittney Griner is projected to have 15 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sun.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Natasha Howard striking first with a 13.7% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| C. Williams | 16 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 36 |
| Natasha Howard | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 35 |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Dorka Juhasz | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
Sun prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Leila Lacan | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
| Kennedy Burke | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
| Diamond Miller | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
Lynx vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Sun and Lynx at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun
- Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 73.4% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
