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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/7.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Tuesday, July 7, 2026—are live with the Wings' Paige Bueckers projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections make use of detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Bueckers, Kahleah Copper and Kahleah Copper lead Tuesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 7, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 15.3% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 14.6% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 13.9% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 13.8% |
| Sydney Taylor (Sky) | 13.1% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 11.4% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 11.0% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 10.1% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.0% |
| Alexa Held (Mercury) | 9.8% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 8.9% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 8.9% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 8.5% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 8.2% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 8.2% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 7.7% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 7.6% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 7.4% |
| Monique Akoa-Makani (Mercury) | 7.3% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 6.3% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 5.6% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 7, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Taylor | Sky | 5.5% | +1200 | 13.1% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 2.3% | +1200 | 10.0% |
| Alexa Held | Mercury | 2.0% | +1200 | 9.7% |
| Paige Bueckers | Wings | 1.0% | +600 | 15.3% |
| DeWanna Bonner | Mercury | 0.4% | +1200 | 8.1% |
| Arike Ogunbowale | Wings | 0.2% | +1300 | 7.4% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/7.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Tuesday, July 7, 2026, Paige Bueckers, Kahleah Copper and Kahleah Copper lead our first basket projections, while Sydney Taylor shapes as the strongest value play at +1200. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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