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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, July 8, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/8.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, July 8, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Williams, Marina Mabrey and Natasha Howard lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 8, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 18.8% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 15.7% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 14.6% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 13.5% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 12.6% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 12.5% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 12.3% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun) | 12.2% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 12.0% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 11.8% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 11.6% |
| Isabelle Harrison (Tempo) | 11.4% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 11.3% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 11.2% |
| Nyara Sabally (Tempo) | 11.0% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 10.2% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 9.9% |
| Kaila Charles (Valkyries) | 9.5% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 7.9% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.6% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 7.4% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 7.0% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 7.0% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 6.9% |
| Monique Billings (Fever) | 6.8% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 6.5% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.0% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 5.5% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 4.6% |
| Dorka Juhasz (Lynx) | 4.5% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 8, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 3.5% | +1000 | 12.5% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 2.7% | +521 | 18.8% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker | Sun | 1.7% | +1500 | 7.9% |
| Kayla McBride | Lynx | 1.3% | +900 | 11.3% |
| Natasha Howard | Lynx | 1.3% | +650 | 14.6% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 1.1% | +850 | 11.6% |
| Monique Billings | Fever | 0.6% | +1500 | 6.8% |
| Marina Mabrey | Tempo | 0.5% | +559 | 15.7% |
| Dearica Hamby | Sparks | 0.1% | +800 | 11.2% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/8.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, July 8, 2026, Gabby Williams, Marina Mabrey and Natasha Howard lead our first basket projections, while Courtney Williams shapes as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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