Jul 9, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, July 9, 2026
Read Article WNBA player props today: Thursday's best props include A'ja Wilson [7/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for July 9, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of A'ja Wilson, DeWanna Bonner and Allisha Gray.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Storm vs. Dream and Fever vs. Mercury, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Thursday, 7/9
Sourced from 30+ total WNBA props on site today, below are the top 10 WNBA player props for July 9, ranked by probability.
A'ja Wilson over 7.5 rebounds (-146)
- Edge: 1.7%
- Probability: 61.1%
- Projection: 9.5
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Las Vegas' A'ja Wilson over 7.5 rebounds. A probability of 61.1% gives this play an edge of 1.7% at -146 odds.
A'ja Wilson over 23.5 points scored (-109)
- Edge: 7.5%
- Probability: 59.6%
- Projection: 28.3
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
A'ja Wilson’s points scored prop shows a 7.5% edge at -109 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 28.3 points scored on the over 23.5 line.
DeWanna Bonner under 6.5 rebounds (-102)
- Edge: 8.6%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Projection: 4.9
- Game: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on DeWanna Bonner under 6.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 59.1% probability and an 8.6% edge at -102.
Allisha Gray over 3.5 rebounds (+128)
- Edge: 14.7%
- Probability: 58.6%
- Projection: 5.0
- Game: Storm vs. Dream (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Allisha Gray to put up 5.0 rebounds today, creating an edge of 14.7% on the over 3.5 line at +128 odds.
Monique Billings under 6.5 rebounds (+102)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 58.2%
- Projection: 5.1
- Game: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Monique Billings under 6.5 rebounds for Indiana, showing an edge of 8.7% at +102 odds.
Alyssa Thomas over 8.5 assists (+102)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 57.2%
- Projection: 9.8
- Game: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Alyssa Thomas’s assists prop shows an edge of 7.7% at +102 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 9.8 today.
NaLyssa Smith under 6.5 rebounds (+105)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Projection: 5.3
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects NaLyssa Smith for 5.3 rebounds for Las Vegas, creating an edge of 8.0% on under 6.5 at +105 odds.
Angel Reese over 11.5 rebounds (+104)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Projection: 12.7
- Game: Storm vs. Dream (8:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Angel Reese for 12.7 rebounds, creating value on the over 11.5 line at +104 odds and a 7.7% edge.
Alyssa Thomas over 14.5 points scored (-128)
- Edge: 0.3%
- Probability: 56.5%
- Projection: 17.6
- Game: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
A 0.3% edge on the over 11.5 points scored line makes Alyssa Thomas a value play in Fever vs. Mercury, with our model projecting her for 17.6 points scored at -128 odds.
Aliyah Boston under 17.5 points scored (-108)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Projection: 14.9
- Game: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Simulations project Aliyah Boston for 14.9 points scored here, creating a 3.6% edge on the under 17.5 line at -108 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Thursday, July 9, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:27AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aces vs. Fire | A'ja Wilson over 7.5 rebounds | -146 @ FanDuel | 1.7% | 61.1% |
| Aces vs. Fire | A'ja Wilson over 23.5 points scored | -109 @ DraftKings | 7.5% | 59.6% |
| Fever vs. Mercury | DeWanna Bonner under 6.5 rebounds | -102 @ FanDuel | 14.7% | 58.6% |
| Storm vs. Dream | Allisha Gray over 3.5 rebounds | +128 @ FanDuel | 14.7% | 58.6% |
| Fever vs. Mercury | Monique Billings under 6.5 rebounds | +102 @ FanDuel | 8.7% | 58.2% |
| Fever vs. Mercury | Alyssa Thomas over 8.5 assists | +102 @ FanDuel | 7.7% | 57.2% |
| Aces vs. Fire | NaLyssa Smith under 6.5 rebounds | +105 @ DraftKings | 8.0% | 56.8% |
| Storm vs. Dream | Angel Reese over 11.5 rebounds | +104 @ FanDuel | 7.7% | 56.8% |
| Fever vs. Mercury | Alyssa Thomas over 14.5 points scored | -128 @ FanDuel | 0.3% | 56.5% |
| Fever vs. Mercury | Aliyah Boston under 17.5 points scored | -108 @ FanDuel | 3.6% | 55.5% |
Conclusion
For July 9, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as A'ja Wilson, DeWanna Bonner and Allisha Gray. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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