Jul 3, 2026
United States vs. Belgium prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 16]
Read Article World Cup player props today: Sunday's round of 16 props include Erik Lira [7/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get World Cup player props today with projections for Sunday's games.
Dimers' World Cup props are live for July 5, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Erik Lira, Sander Berge and Luis Romo.
Our World Cup player props model runs continuously, analyzing every international soccer matchup, including Norway vs. Brazil and England vs. Mexico, to surface the best World Cup player prop bets across the market.
List of World Cup prop picks for Sunday, 7/5 [Round of 16]
Below are today's top 10 player props, ranked by their edge against the odds. By factoring in opponent strength and specific roles within the team, our data evaluates every player on the pitch to pinpoint high-value opportunities beyond just the star names.
Erik Lira over 0.5 shots on target (+650)
- Edge: 1.8%
- Probability: 15.1%
- Game: Mexico vs. England (8:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Mexico's Erik Lira over 0.5 shots on target. A probability of 15.1% gives this play an edge of 1.8% at +650 odds.
Sander Berge over 1.5 shots (+750)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 14.8%
- Game: Brazil vs. Norway (4:00PM ET)
Sander Berge’s shots prop shows a 14.8% probability and an 3.0% edge at +750 odds, according to our model.
Erik Lira over 1.5 shots (+950)
- Edge: 1.3%
- Probability: 10.8%
- Game: Mexico vs. Norway (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Erik Lira over 1.5 shots, with simulations showing a 10.8% probability and a 1.3% edge at +950.
Luis Romo over 2.5 shots (+1600)
- Edge: 1.7%
- Probability: 7.5%
- Game: Mexico vs. England (8:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Luis Romo over 2.5 shots, with a 7.5% probability and an edge of 1.7% at +1600 odds.
Torbjorn Heggem over 1.5 shots (+1300)
- Edge: 0.2%
- Probability: 7.4%
- Game: Brazil vs. Norway (4:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Torbjorn Heggem over 1.5 shots for Norway, showing an edge of 0.2% at +1300 odds.
Alexander Sorloth over 4.5 shots (+1400)
- Edge: 0.2%
- Probability: 6.8%
- Game: Brazil vs. Norway (4:00PM ET)
Alexander Sorloth’s shots prop shows an edge of 0.2% at +1400 odds, supported by a 6.8% probability according to our model.
Douglas anytime goal scorer (+1700)
- Edge: 0.8%
- Probability: 6.4%
- Game: Brazil vs. Norway (4:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Douglas anytime goal scorer for Brazil, with a 6.4% probability and a 0.8% edge at +1700 odds.
Marquinhos anytime goal scorer (+2800)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 6.2%
- Game: Brazil vs. Norway (4:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Marquinhos anytime goal scorer, supported by a 6.2% probability at +2800 odds and an edge of 2.7%.
Bruno Guimaraes over 3.5 shots (+1800)
- Edge: 0.9%
- Probability: 6.1%
- Game: Brazil vs. Norway (4:00PM ET)
A 0.9% edge on the Shots 0.5 shots line makes Bruno Guimaraes a value play in , supported by a 6.1% probability at +1800 odds.
Jesus Gallardo over 2.5 shots (+1800)
- Edge: 0.3%
- Probability: 5.6%
- Game: Mexico vs. Norway (8:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Jesus Gallardo over 2.5 shots here, with a 5.6% probability and 0.3% edge at +1800 odds.
World Cup player prop summary: Sunday, July 5, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:46AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs. England | Erik Lira over 0.5 shots on target | +650 @ BetMGM | 1.8% | 15.1% |
| Brazil vs. Norway | Sander Berge over 1.5 shots | +750 @ DraftKings | 3.0% | 14.8% |
| Mexico vs. England | Erik Lira over 1.5 shots | +950 @ BetMGM | 1.7% | 7.5% |
| Mexico vs. England | Luis Romo over 2.5 shots | +1600 @ DraftKings | 1.7% | 7.5% |
| Brazil vs. Norway | Torbjorn Heggem over 1.5 shots | +1300 @ DraftKings | 0.2% | 7.4% |
| Brazil vs. Norway | Alexander Sorloth over 4.5 shots | +1400 @ DraftKings | 0.2% | 6.8% |
| Brazil vs. Norway | Douglas anytime goal scorer | +1700 @ DraftKings | 0.8% | 6.4% |
| Brazil vs. Norway | Marquinhos anytime goal scorer | +2800 @ DraftKings | 2.7% | 6.2% |
| Brazil vs. Norway | Bruno Guimaraes over 3.5 shots | +1800 @ FanDuel | 0.9% | 6.1% |
| Mexico vs. England | Jesus Gallardo over 2.5 shots | +1800 @ DraftKings | 0.3% | 5.6% |
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Conclusion
For July 5, 2026, our World Cup prop bets feature players such as Erik Lira, Sander Berge and Luis Romo. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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