Jul 5, 2026
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Read Article World Cup bets today: Three round of 16 picks for Sunday ft. England vs. Mexico [7/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get soccer World Cup picks today and best bets for Sunday, July 5, 2026.
Today’s World Cup betting tips for July 5, 2026 are here, with England vs. Mexico among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s round of 16 schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest soccer odds to find real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of soccer World Cup picks tonight [7/5, updated 1:37AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best World Cup bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, July 5, 2026.
England vs. Mexico BTTS: No (-120)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 58.7%
- Matchup: England vs. Mexico (8:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on both England and England to score (No) at -120 odds. A 58.7% probability produces an edge of 4.1%, making this the strongest play for today's World Cup slate.
England vs. Mexico Under 2.5 goals (-156)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 65.1%
- Matchup: England vs. Mexico (8:00PM ET)
England vs. Mexico under 2.5 goals carries a 4.1% edge and a probability of 65.1% at -156 odds, according to our model.
England ML (+147)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 43.2%
- Matchup: England vs. Mexico (8:00PM ET)
England ML at +147 odds shows a 2.7% edge, supported by a 43.2% probability in simulations.
World Cup round of 16 best bets summary: Sunday, 7/5/2026
As of 1:37AM ET, here are our top World Cup bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England vs. Mexico | BTTS (No) | -120 @ DraftKings | 4.1% | 58.7% |
| England vs. Mexico | Under 2.5 goals | -156 @ Novig | 4.1% | 65.1% |
| England vs. Mexico | England ML | +147 @ Novig | 2.7% | 43.2% |
List of upcoming World Cup games to bet on [7/5/2026]
- Norway vs. Brazil (4:00PM ET, Sunday)
- England vs. Mexico (8:00PM ET, Sunday)
See How Dimers Pro Enhances Your Best Bets
Discover the difference our best bets make with Dimers Pro. Check out this explainer video to see how you can gain an edge.
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Conclusion
Our World Cup best bets are locked and loaded for July 5, 2026, featuring plays such as England and Mexico to both score (No) and under 2.5 goals also in the England vs. Mexico matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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