Jul 4, 2026
Canada vs. Morocco prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 16]
Read Article Paraguay vs. France prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 16]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Paraguay vs France predictions for World Cup 2026 Saturday.
World Cup 2026 action continues on Saturday at 5:00 PM ET as France locks horns with Paraguay in the round of 16 at Lincoln Financial Field.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts France as the most likely winner of the Paraguay vs. France game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Paraguay vs. France prediction: Who will win and advance to the Quarter-Finals?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Paraguay and France, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 6.1% chance of Paraguay winning, a 78.9% chance for France, and a 15.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52.9% chance of going over, with a 65.7% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, France holds a 55.8% probability to win without conceding, with Paraguay at 3.8%.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is France to win or draw at 93.9%.
Note that these odds cover 90 minutes of regulation time. If you're used to NBA markets that include overtime, remember that World Cup bets exclude extra time unless the specific market says so.
France vs. Paraguay odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Paraguay | France | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +1800 | -475 | +600 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -160 | +138 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Paraguay vs. France picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Paraguay @ +1800 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +138 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: Paraguay @ +1600 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Paraguay or Draw @ +420 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -180 via FanDuel
According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Paraguay vs. France: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 France win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Paraguay 0-2 France | 16.4% |
| Paraguay 0-1 France | 14.2% |
| Paraguay 0-3 France | 12.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 34.3% chance of both Paraguay and France finding the net and a 65.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Paraguay vs. France player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Saturday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Paraguay-France:
Paraguay
- Julio Enciso: 10.2% probability
- Miguel Almiron: 8.4% probability
- Diego Gomez: 6.2% probability
- Matias Galarza: 5.6% probability
- Gustavo Gomez: 3.3% probability
France
- Kylian Mbappe: 50.8% probability
- Ousmane Dembele: 30.5% probability
- Michael Olise: 26.4% probability
- Bradley Barcola: 23.1% probability
- Adrien Rabiot: 13.2% probability
Paraguay vs. France game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's FIFA World Cup game between Paraguay and France at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to commence at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Paraguay vs. France
- Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Paraguay has a 6.1% win probability on Saturday, France has a 78.9% win probability, and there is a 15.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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