Morocco vs. Canada Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Morocco vs. Canada in the World Cup on July 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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WORLD CUP
Morocco
3
0
NRG Stadium
Canada
NRG Stadium
CanadaCAN
Score Summary
MoroccoMAR
A. Ounahi (50')
Soccer ball icon
A. Ounahi (82')
Soccer ball icon
S. Rahimi (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canada
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Morocco
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Morocco by S. Rahimi, assisted by B. Diaz
    3-0
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Morocco: M. Saadane replaces I. Diop
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Morocco: S. El Mourabet replaces A. Ounahi
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Canada: J. Nelson replaces T. Buchanan
  5. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Canada: J. Osorio replaces N. Sigur
  6. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Morocco by A. Ounahi, assisted by B. Diaz
    2-0
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Canada: J. Shaffelburg replaces R. Laryea
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Canada: P. David replaces A. Ahmed
  9. 67'
    Yellow Card
    C. Larin (Canada) cautioned
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Morocco: S. Amrabat replaces A. Bouaddi
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Morocco: C. Talbi replaces B. El Khannouss
  12. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Canada: C. Larin replaces T. Oluwaseyi
  13. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Morocco by A. Ounahi, assisted by A. Hakimi
    1-0
  14. 49'
    Yellow Card
    L. De Fougerolles (Canada) cautioned
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Ounahi (Morocco) cautioned
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    B. El Khannouss (Morocco) cautioned
  17. 43'
    Yellow Card
    J. David (Canada) cautioned
  18. 40'
    Yellow Card
    A. Hakimi (Morocco) cautioned
  19. 40'
    Yellow Card
    R. Laryea (Canada) cautioned
  20. 22'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Morocco: S. Rahimi replaces I. Saibari
  21. 20'
    Yellow Card
    R. Halhal (Morocco) cautioned

Morocco vs. Canada: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Morocco vs. Canada prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Morocco vs. Canada
  • Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • Tournament: 2026 FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Morocco 53¢, Canada 18¢, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (41¢/60¢)
  • Double chance: Morocco or draw -600, Canada or draw -110, Morocco or Canada -300
  • BTTS: Yes +105, No -128
  • Win to nil: Morocco +165, Canada +575

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Morocco: 54.1%
  • Canada: 18.8%
  • Draw: 27.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Morocco 1-0 Canada (16.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Double chance probabilities
  • BTTS probabilities
  • Win to nil probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities
  • Anytime goalscorer probabilities
  • First goalscorer probabilities
  • 2+ and 3+ goals probabilities
  • Shots and shots on target projections

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Why trust Dimers' World Cup predictions?

The Dimers betting model has already uncovered standout betting opportunities throughout the World Cup, including:

These are just a few examples of how the Dimers model has identified betting value throughout the tournament.

Read how the Dimers Pro model nailed five bold Round 1 bets, including full pre-match reasoning and breakdowns.

Explore all of our 2026 World Cup Predictions to see today's model projections and betting insights across every match.

Who will win Morocco vs. Canada? Prediction & correct score

Morocco is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.1%.

The most likely correct score is Morocco 1-0 Canada.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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