WNBA player props today: Saturday's best props include Alyssa Thomas [7/11/2026]
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for July 11, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Alyssa Thomas, Megan Gustafson and Rhyne Howard.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Fire vs. Dream and Mercury vs. Aces, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Saturday, 7/11
Sourced from 30+ total WNBA props on site today, below are the top 10 WNBA player props for July 11, ranked by probability.
Alyssa Thomas over 6.5 rebounds (-122)
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 63.5%
- Projection: 9.0
- Game: Mercury vs. Aces (6:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Phoenix' Alyssa Thomas over 6.5 rebounds. A probability of 63.5% gives this play an edge of 8.5% at -122 odds.
Megan Gustafson over 1.5 3-pointers made (+125)
- Edge: 17.9%
- Probability: 62.3%
- Projection: 2.7
- Game: Fire vs. Dream (4:00PM ET)
Megan Gustafson’s 3-pointers made prop shows a 17.9% edge at +125 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 2.7 3-pointers made on the over 1.5 line.
Rhyne Howard over 2.5 assists (-143)
- Edge: 1.0%
- Probability: 59.9%
- Projection: 4.2
- Game: Fire vs. Dream (4:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Rhyne Howard over 2.5 assists, with simulations showing a 59.9% probability and a 1.0% edge at -143.
Allisha Gray over 3.5 rebounds (+110)
- Edge: 10.9%
- Probability: 58.5%
- Projection: 5.0
- Game: Fire vs. Dream (4:00PM ET)
Our model projects Allisha Gray to put up 5.0 rebounds today, creating an edge of 10.9% on the over 3.5 line at +110 odds.
Natasha Howard over 7.5 rebounds (+104)
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 57.6%
- Projection: 8.8
- Game: Liberty vs. Lynx (1:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Natasha Howard over 7.5 rebounds for Minnesota, showing an edge of 8.5% at +104 odds.
Natasha Howard over 14.5 points scored (-114)
- Edge: 2.5%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Projection: 17.2
- Game: Liberty vs. Lynx (1:00PM ET)
Natasha Howard’s points scored prop shows an edge of 2.5% at -114 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 17.2 today.
A'ja Wilson over 9.5 rebounds (-108)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Projection: 10.5
- Game: Mercury vs. Aces (6:00PM ET)
Our model projects A'ja Wilson for 10.5 rebounds for Las Vegas, creating an edge of 3.7% on over 9.5 at -108 odds.
Courtney Williams under 16.5 points scored (-122)
- Edge: 0.5%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Projection: 13.9
- Game: Liberty vs. Lynx (1:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Courtney Williams for 13.9 points scored, creating value on the under 16.5 line at -122 odds and a 0.5% edge.
Megan Gustafson under 12.5 points scored (-115)
- Edge: 0.9%
- Probability: 54.4%
- Projection: 10.4
- Game: Fire vs. Dream (4:00PM ET)
A 0.9% edge on the under 16.5 points scored line makes Megan Gustafson a value play in Fire vs. Dream, with our model projecting her for 10.4 points scored at -115 odds.
Sabrina Ionescu over 4.5 assists (-114)
- Edge: 1.2%
- Probability: 54.4%
- Projection: 5.3
- Game: Liberty vs. Lynx (1:00PM ET)
Simulations project Sabrina Ionescu for 5.3 assists here, creating a 1.2% edge on the over 4.5 line at -114 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Saturday, July 11, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:25AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercury vs. Aces | Alyssa Thomas over 6.5 rebounds | -122 @ DraftKings | 8.5% | 63.5% |
| Fire vs. Dream | Megan Gustafson over 1.5 3-pointers made | +125 @ DraftKings | 17.9% | 62.3% |
| Fire vs. Dream | Rhyne Howard over 2.5 assists | -143 @ DraftKings | 10.9% | 58.5% |
| Fire vs. Dream | Allisha Gray over 3.5 rebounds | +110 @ FanDuel | 10.9% | 58.5% |
| Liberty vs. Lynx | Natasha Howard over 7.5 rebounds | +104 @ FanDuel | 8.5% | 57.6% |
| Liberty vs. Lynx | Natasha Howard over 14.5 points scored | -114 @ DraftKings | 2.5% | 55.8% |
| Mercury vs. Aces | A'ja Wilson over 9.5 rebounds | -108 @ FanDuel | 3.7% | 55.6% |
| Liberty vs. Lynx | Courtney Williams under 16.5 points scored | -122 @ FanDuel | 0.5% | 55.5% |
| Fire vs. Dream | Megan Gustafson under 12.5 points scored | -115 @ DraftKings | 0.9% | 54.4% |
| Liberty vs. Lynx | Sabrina Ionescu over 4.5 assists | -114 @ FanDuel | 1.2% | 54.4% |
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Conclusion
For July 11, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Alyssa Thomas, Megan Gustafson and Rhyne Howard. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
