WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, July 10, 2026
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/10.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Friday, July 10, 2026—are live with the Tempo's Marina Mabrey projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections are based on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Mabrey, Janelle Salaun and Paige Bueckers lead Friday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 10, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 17.1% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 15.1% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 14.7% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 14.6% |
| Sydney Taylor (Sky) | 14.3% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 14.0% |
| Isabelle Harrison (Tempo) | 12.3% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 12.3% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 12.1% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun) | 11.7% |
| Kaila Charles (Valkyries) | 11.5% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 11.0% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 10.7% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 10.4% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.3% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 10.0% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 8.2% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 8.1% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 8.0% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.8% |
| Laura Juskaite (Tempo) | 7.6% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 7.6% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 7.2% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 7.1% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 7.0% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 6.4% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 5.9% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 5.9% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 5.5% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 5.4% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 10, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Taylor | Sky | 4.8% | +950 | 14.3% |
| Dearica Hamby | Sparks | 2.3% | +900 | 12.3% |
| Marina Mabrey | Tempo | 1.7% | +550 | 17.1% |
| Isabelle Harrison | Tempo | 1.2% | +800 | 12.3% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker | Sun | 0.9% | +1280 | 8.2% |
| Nneka Ogwumike | Sparks | 0.7% | +650 | 14.0% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 0.3% | +900 | 10.3% |
| Veronica Burton | Valkyries | 0.2% | +850 | 10.7% |
| Aaliyah Edwards | Sun | 0.0% | +730 | 12.1% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/10.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Friday, July 10, 2026, Marina Mabrey, Janelle Salaun and Paige Bueckers lead our first basket projections, while Sydney Taylor shapes as the strongest value play at +950. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
