Sky vs. Sparks prediction: Los Angeles favored to win Friday's WNBA matchup [7/10/2026]
Get Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks predictions for WNBA Friday.
WNBA action continues on Friday at 10:00 PM ET as the Chicago Sky square off with the Los Angeles Sparks at Crypto.com Arena.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model gives the Sparks a slight edge with a 54.1% win probability over the Sky.
The Sparks, who have stars such as Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Rae Burrell, will face off against the Sky, whose lineup includes Sydney Taylor, Kamilla Cardoso and Azura Stevens.
This article offers further insights into Friday's Sky vs. Sparks matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sky vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model gives the Sparks a 54.1% chance of defeating the Sky.
According to our model, the Sky (+1.5) have a 51.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 177.5 points has a 68.9% chance of staying under,.
Sky vs. Sparks odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sky | Sparks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-106) | -1.5 (+104) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -113 |
| Total | o177.5 (+102) | u177.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sky vs. Sparks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sparks -1.5 | novig+104 |
| Moneyline | Sparks | novig-113 |
| Total | Under 177.5 | novig-108 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 177.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sky vs. Sparks player props
Looking for Chicago vs. Los Angeles WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Sydney Taylor is expected to lead the Sky with 19 points, 2 rebounds and 2 assists, while Dearica Hamby is projected to have 17 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists for the Sparks.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Kamilla Cardoso as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sky prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Taylor | 19 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 30 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 35 |
| Azura Stevens | 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Natasha Cloud | 11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 27 |
| C. Vandersloot | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 21 |
Sparks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 36 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 33 |
| Rae Burrell | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Ariel Atkins | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Erica Wheeler | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 22 |
Sky vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Sparks and Sky at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sparks, with a 54.1% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
