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NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include De'Aaron Fox [3/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get NBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for March 05, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of De'Aaron Fox, Andrew Wiggins and Immanuel Quickley.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Lakers vs. Nuggets and Warriors vs. Rockets, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Thursday, 3/5
Sourced from 40+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for March 5, ranked by edge.
De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 12.0%
- Probability: 46.0%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Pistons vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on San Antonio's De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals. A probability of 46.0% gives this play an edge of 12.0% at +194 odds.
Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 11.8%
- Probability: 45.8%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Nets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)
Andrew Wiggins’s steals prop shows an 11.8% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.
Immanuel Quickley over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 11.8%
- Probability: 45.8%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Raptors vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Immanuel Quickley over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 45.8% probability and an 11.8% edge at +194.
Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 11.2%
- Probability: 45.3%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Raptors vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Jaden McDaniels to record 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 11.2% on the over 1.5 line at +194 odds.
Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks (+175)
- Edge: 11.2%
- Probability: 47.6%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Warriors vs. Rockets (7:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks for Houston, showing an edge of 11.2% at +175 odds.
Tobias Harris over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 11.1%
- Probability: 45.1%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Pistons vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)
Tobias Harris’s steals prop shows an edge of 11.1% at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 today.
Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 11.1%
- Probability: 45.1%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Lakers vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Jamal Murray for 1.1 steals for Denver, creating an edge of 11.1% on over 1.5 at +194 odds.
Precious Achiuwa over 1.5 blocks (+170)
- Edge: 10.8%
- Probability: 47.9%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Pelicans vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Precious Achiuwa for 1.2 blocks, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +170 odds and a 10.8% edge.
Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals (+178)
- Edge: 10.4%
- Probability: 46.3%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Warriors vs. Rockets (7:30PM ET)
A 10.4% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Alperen Sengun a value play in Warriors vs. Rockets, with our model projecting him for 1.2 steals at +178 odds.
Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks (+162)
- Edge: 10.4%
- Probability: 48.5%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Raptors vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET)
Simulations project Scottie Barnes for 1.3 blocks here, creating a 10.4% edge on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Thursday, March 5, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 5:14PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons vs. Spurs | De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 12.0% | 46.0% |
| Nets vs. Heat | Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 11.8% | 45.8% |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves | Immanuel Quickley over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 11.2% | 45.3% |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves | Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 11.2% | 45.3% |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks | +175 @ BetMGM | 11.2% | 47.6% |
| Pistons vs. Spurs | Tobias Harris over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 11.1% | 45.1% |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 11.1% | 45.1% |
| Pelicans vs. Kings | Precious Achiuwa over 1.5 blocks | +170 @ BetMGM | 10.8% | 47.9% |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals | +178 @ FanDuel | 10.4% | 46.3% |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves | Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks | +162 @ FanDuel | 10.4% | 48.5% |
Conclusion
For March 5, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as De'Aaron Fox, Andrew Wiggins and Immanuel Quickley. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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