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Pistons vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Spurs NBA game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
106
121
Mar 6, 1AM Frost Bank Center
Mar 6, 1AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 23 | 35 | 48 | 0 | 106 |
Spurs | 38 | 40 | 43 | 0 | 121 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
2%
98%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 23 | 35 | 48 | 0 | 106 |
Spurs | 38 | 40 | 43 | 0 | 121 |
Q4 1:01 Javonte Green misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Javonte Green misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
Q4 1:58 Stephon Castle makes two point putback layup (Devin Vassell assists)
Q4 1:58 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Isaiah Stewart blocks Victor Wembanyama's two point jump shot
Q4 2:28 Pistons makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:32 De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:44 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:08 Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Spurs turnover (shot clock violation)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
Devin Vassell personal foul (Daniss Jenkins draws the foul)
Pistons offensive rebound
Daniss Jenkins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Daniss Jenkins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Bismack Biyombo, Jordan McLaughlin, Carter Bryant, Lindy Waters III)
Bobi Klintman defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cade Cunningham personal foul
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-121
Pistons lineup change (Chaz Lanier, Bobi Klintman, Javonte Green, Marcus Sasser, Daniss Jenkins)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Bismack Biyombo, Jordan McLaughlin, Carter Bryant, Lindy Waters III)
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Javonte Green misses three point jump shot
Cade Cunningham personal foul
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
Spurs offensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-121
Javonte Green misses two point jump shot
+3
Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
106-121
Spurs personal foul
+1
Javonte Green makes regular free throw 1 of 3
106-121
+1
Javonte Green makes regular free throw 2 of 3
106-121
+1
Javonte Green makes regular free throw 3 of 3
106-121
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point putback layup (Devin Vassell assists)
102-113
Pistons personal foul
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
103-116
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Javonte Green offensive rebound
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Isaiah Stewart blocks Victor Wembanyama's two point jump shot
Stephon Castle shooting foul (Cade Cunningham draws the foul)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
102-113
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 1
103-116
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
99-113
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
102-113
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
106-121
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
+3
De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot
106-121
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
106-121
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
92-107
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
92-105
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point cutting layup
Pistons lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Javonte Green blocks Stephon Castle's two point layup
Pistons personal foul
Isaiah Stewart turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point running dunk
90-105
Pistons turnover
Spurs turnover
Devin Vassell personal foul
Victor Wembanyama kicked ball violation
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point driving layup
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)
92-107
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses two point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Isaiah Stewart makes three point jump shot
106-121
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart)
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-101
Pistons personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-121
Daniss Jenkins turnover (Stephon Castle steals)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot
87-99
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Caris LeVert misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
87-97
Pistons turnover
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
87-95
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point jump shot
106-121
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Daniss Jenkins misses three point running jump shot
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Paul Reed personal foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson, Daniss Jenkins)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green)
Jump ball. Paul Reed vs. Carter Bryant (Tobias Harris gains possession)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham)
Carter Bryant turnover (lost ball) (Paul Reed steals)
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson)
Cade Cunningham turnover (De'Aaron Fox steals)
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot
Luke Kornet personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes technical free throw 1 of 1
106-121
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
102-113
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Paul Reed shooting foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
Julian Champagnie misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-121
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant)
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
106-121
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Paul Reed turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Pistons challenge timeout
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses two point layup
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
87-99
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 3
75-87
Pistons personal foul
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 3 of 3
87-99
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham)
Julian Champagnie misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Spurs offensive rebound
+3
Isaiah Stewart makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)
90-101
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Isaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama personal foul (Paul Reed draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
87-99
+3
Kevin Huerter makes three point jump shot
75-87
Caris LeVert personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-121
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-121
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
Cade Cunningham turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart)
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Paul Reed personal foul
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pistons personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-87
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
87-99
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Spurs 60 second timeout
Stephon Castle turnover
Pistons lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart)
Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-87
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-121
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
+3
Cade Cunningham makes three point jump shot
90-101
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
75-87
Pistons personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Tobias Harris misses three point running jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama violation
+2
Cade Cunningham makes two point driving finger roll layup
90-101
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point layup
106-121
Jump ball. (Keldon Johnson gains possession)
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
106-121
Victor Wembanyama personal foul
De'Aaron Fox turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Keldon Johnson personal foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-121
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Instant replay (Challenge)
De'Aaron Fox misses two point driving finger roll layup
Pistons challenge timeout
Pistons defensive rebound
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Pistons violation
+2
Ronald Holland II makes two point layup
106-121
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
106-121
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point layup
58-78
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses two point stepback jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point pullup jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot
90-101
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Jalen Duren assists)
87-99
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Daniss Jenkins misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point tip dunk
58-78
Stephon Castle misses two point pullup jump shot
Jalen Duren turnover (Victor Wembanyama steals)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Daniss Jenkins)
+3
Tobias Harris makes three point jump shot
45-56
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
Cade Cunningham personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-78
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-80
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-78
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-78
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses two point driving finger roll layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
45-56
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Tobias Harris personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-56
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-56
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-56
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-56
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
45-56
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
45-56
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Luke Kornet shooting foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)
Isaiah Stewart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-56
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point jump shot
45-56
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point jump shot
45-56
Spurs personal foul
Duncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-56
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
Dylan Harper personal foul
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
+1
Javonte Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-56
+1
Javonte Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-56
Pistons lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
45-56
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
45-56
Duncan Robinson offensive rebound
+2
Duncan Robinson makes two point tip layup
45-56
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-56
Pistons lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-56
Pistons personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
45-56
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
37-52
Spurs personal foul
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Pistons lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson)
Spurs personal foul
Spurs violation
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
35-52
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses two point driving finger roll layup
Javonte Green shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Kevin Huerter, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
39-52
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
39-52
+2
Cade Cunningham makes two point pullup jump shot
35-47
+2
Carter Bryant makes two point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
33-47
Instant replay (Challenge)
Victor Wembanyama personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-49
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-52
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
31-45
Pistons personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
31-45
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
31-45
+2
Javonte Green makes two point jump shot (Caris LeVert assists)
31-45
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
31-45
+3
Javonte Green makes three point jump shot
31-45
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
26-38
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart)
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Marcus Sasser misses two point finger roll layup
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-38
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Javonte Green, Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart)
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-38
+3
De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot
21-38
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Isaiah Stewart misses two point driving layup
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
21-35
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Tobias Harris misses two point stepback jump shot
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point jump shot
21-35
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point floating jump shot
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Carter Bryant blocks Daniss Jenkins's two point running dunk
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Stewart steals)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
21-31
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-31
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
19-30
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Other)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
19-27
Spurs personal foul
+1
Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-24
+1
Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-24
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart)
Spurs turnover
Stephon Castle shooting foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-24
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-24
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart)
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
15-24
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 31 | J. Green | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| F | 34 | B. Klintman | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 20 | C. Lanier | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 25 | M. Sasser | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 24 | D. Jenkins | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 18 | B. Biyombo | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 43 | L. Waters III | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 0 | J. McLaughlin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 11 | C. Bryant | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| G | 2 | D. Harper | 7 | 2 | 1 |
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Pistons vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Spurs
- Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons +130, Spurs -148
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 39%
- Spurs: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 112-116 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 39%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Pistons in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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