Jun 10, 2026
Spurs vs. Knicks prediction: New York to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for big game in Game 4 of 2026 Finals
Read Article Knicks vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for 28 points in Game 1 of 2026 Finals
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs predictions for NBA Playoffs Wednesday.
The San Antonio Spurs and New York Knicks are scheduled to meet in Game 226 of the 2026 NBA Finals at Frost Bank Center on Wednesday, with tipoff at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Knicks vs. Spurs Game 1 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature players like Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and De'Aaron Fox, while the Knicks will look to Jalen Brunson, OG Anunoby and Karl-Anthony Towns.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Knicks vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win Game 1?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA FInals matchup between the Knicks and Spurs, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Spurs a 67% chance of defeating the Knicks in Game 1 of the 2026 Finals. Our predicted final score in Game 226 of the 2026 NBA Finals has the Spurs winning 111-106.
According to our model, the Spurs (-5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 217.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Knicks vs. Spurs Game 1 odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Knicks | Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5 (-110) | -5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +165 | -175 |
| Total | o217.5 (-108) | u217.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Knicks vs. Spurs picks and best bet for Game 1
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Spurs -5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Spurs | -175 |
| Total | Over 217.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Spurs to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Knicks vs. Spurs Game 1 player props
NBA player props are a popular way to wager on Wednesday's Knicks vs. Spurs matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.
Jalen Brunson is expected to lead the Knicks with 25 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 28 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists for the Spurs.
When evaluating the first basket market, Victor Wembanyama is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.6% probability.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's NBA first basket picks.
Knicks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Knicks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 25 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 44 |
| OG Anunoby | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| K. Towns | 18 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 46 |
| Mikal Bridges | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Josh Hart | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 34 |
Spurs prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Spurs:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 28 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 59 |
| Stephon Castle | 18 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 39 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 17 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| Devin Vassell | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| J. Champagnie | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 27 |
Knicks vs. Spurs Game 1 updates and essential details
Wednesday's Game 1 between the Spurs and Knicks in the NBA Finals is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: New York Knicks vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Date: Wednesday, June 3, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
- NBA Playoffs bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The winner of the 2026 NBA Finals between the Knicks and Spurs wins the NBA championship. Game 226 of the best-of-seven series is at San Antonio's Frost Bank Center.
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Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Knicks in Game 1 of the 2026 Finals.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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