Knicks vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for 28 points in Game 2 of 2026 Finals

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs predictions for NBA Playoffs Friday.

New York Knicks-San Antonio Spurs Predictions and Game Preview.
New York Knicks vs. San Antonio Spurs NBA prediction for Game 2 of the Finals series.

The San Antonio Spurs will square off with the New York Knicks in Game 228 of the 2026 NBA Finals at Frost Bank Center on Friday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Knicks vs. Spurs Game 2 matchup.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature stars like Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and De'Aaron Fox, while the Knicks will look to Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Knicks vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win Game 2?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA FInals matchup between the Knicks and Spurs, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Spurs a 73.3% chance of defeating the Knicks in Game 2 of the 2026 Finals. Our predicted final score in Game 228 of the 2026 NBA Finals has the Spurs winning 112-105.

According to our model, the Spurs (-7.5) have a 52.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 217.5 points has a 51.0% chance of going over.

 

Knicks vs. Spurs Game 2 odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Knicks Spurs
Spread +7.5 (-130) -7.5 (-102)
Moneyline +200 -225
Total o217.5 (-105) u217.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Knicks vs. Spurs picks and best bet for Game 2

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Spurs -7.5 -102
Moneyline Spurs -225
Total Over 217.5 -105

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Spurs to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Knicks vs. Spurs Game 2 player props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the New York vs. San Antonio matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.

Jalen Brunson is expected to lead the Knicks with 25 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 28 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists for the Spurs.

When evaluating the first basket market, Victor Wembanyama is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.6% probability.

Victor Wembanyama 2026.
Victor Wembanyama is projected to score 28 points tonight.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's NBA first basket picks.

Knicks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Knicks are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Jalen Brunson 25 3 7 2 44
K. Towns 19 12 5 2 45
OG Anunoby 17 6 2 2 33
Mikal Bridges 14 3 3 1 28
Josh Hart 11 9 5 2 33

Spurs prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Spurs:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
V. Wembanyama 28 11 4 2 59
Stephon Castle 18 5 7 1 39
De'Aaron Fox 17 3 6 1 34
Devin Vassell 13 5 3 2 28
Dylan Harper 13 5 4 1 28

Knicks vs. Spurs Game 2 updates and essential details

Friday's Game 2 between the Spurs and Knicks in the NBA Finals is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.

The winner of the 2026 NBA Finals between the Knicks and Spurs gets the Larry O'Brien Trophy. Game 228 of the best-of-seven series is at San Antonio's Frost Bank Center.

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Conclusion

We predict the Spurs, with a 73.3% win probability, will likely beat the Knicks in Game 2 of the 2026 Finals.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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