...
...
Read Article
Lakers vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lakers vs. Nuggets NBA game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Start your FREE 3-Day trial of Dimers Pro 
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
113
120
Mar 6, 3AM Ball Arena
Mar 6, 3AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | 22 | 32 | 50 | 9 | 113 |
Nuggets | 32 | 32 | 46 | 10 | 120 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
1%
99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | 22 | 32 | 50 | 9 | 113 |
Nuggets | 32 | 32 | 46 | 10 | 120 |
Q4 00:01 Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:07 Jake LaRavia makes two point layup
Q4 00:19 Marcus Smart misses two point tip layup
Q4 00:20 Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:22 Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:34 Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:12 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Jake LaRavia personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-118
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-120
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Jake LaRavia makes two point layup
113-118
Luka Doncic personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-118
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-120
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia, Rui Hachimura)
Lakers personal foul
Marcus Smart misses two point tip layup
Marcus Smart offensive rebound
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
111-116
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura)
Lakers 60 second timeout
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
113-120
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, LeBron James)
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-120
Nikola Jokic turnover
Nuggets defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Rui Hachimura makes two point jump shot
110-112
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaxson Hayes makes two point jump shot
110-112
Marcus Smart personal foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura)
Lakers 60 second timeout
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-120
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-120
+2
LeBron James makes two point jump shot
110-112
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
104-110
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
104-108
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Luka Doncic personal foul
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-108
Christian Braun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James)
Lakers 60 second timeout
+3
Julian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
110-112
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
110-112
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
110-112
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Rui Hachimura makes two point running layup (LeBron James assists)
99-102
Nuggets turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
97-102
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Nikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Luka Doncic steals)
LeBron James personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
+2
Jaxson Hayes makes two point cutting dunk (LeBron James assists)
95-102
Lakers defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James)
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
104-110
Nuggets personal foul
Jaxson Hayes misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jonas Valanciunas offensive foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)
Jonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)
LeBron James turnover
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
104-110
Rui Hachimura shooting foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James)
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-120
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-120
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
+2
Zeke Nnaji makes two point putback layup
110-112
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Rui Hachimura misses three point jump shot
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point putback layup
95-102
Austin Reaves offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Luke Kennard shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
95-102
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
95-102
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
86-96
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas)
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James)
Nikola Jokic misses three point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot
95-102
Austin Reaves offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic)
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, LeBron James)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-102
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-120
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot
83-91
Lakers offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic blocks Jake LaRavia's two point jump shot
Jake LaRavia personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-90
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-91
LeBron James misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic turnover (lane violation)
Nuggets violation
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, LeBron James)
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot
80-89
+3
Bruce Brown makes three point jump shot
78-89
Tyus Jones defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Tyus Jones)
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-102
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-102
Bruce Brown misses two point jump shot
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point jump shot
95-102
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Rui Hachimura)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
95-102
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Rui Hachimura personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Luke Kennard, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James)
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura)
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
73-82
Christian Braun turnover
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses two point driving layup
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-102
+3
Rui Hachimura makes three point running jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)
73-82
Nuggets turnover (LeBron James steals)
Luka Doncic turnover (offensive goaltending)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Lakers challenge timeout
Lakers 60 second timeout
Luka Doncic violation
Instant replay
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic personal foul
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
Marcus Smart personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Marcus Smart turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
95-102
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
80-91
LeBron James personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
95-102
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James)
Luka Doncic offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
113-120
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point driving layup
Lakers personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-91
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-102
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Austin Reaves misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point pullup jump shot
59-73
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-102
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-73
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-102
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
95-102
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
83-91
Nikola Jokic personal foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-73
LeBron James personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-91
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
+2
Julian Strawther makes two point jump shot
113-120
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
113-120
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
83-91
End of 1st Half.
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, LeBron James)
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Lakers offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Tim Hardaway Jr., Tyus Jones, Jonas Valanciunas)
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Tim Hardaway Jr., Tyus Jones, Jonas Valanciunas)
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 28 | R. Hachimura | 16 | 2 | 3 |
| G | 15 | A. Reaves | 16 | 5 | 7 |
| F | 36 | M. Smart | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| F | 12 | J. LaRavia | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 77 | L. Doncic | 27 | 11 | 7 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 15 | N. Jokic | 28 | 12 | 13 |
| G-F | 11 | B. Brown | 8 | 6 | 1 |
| G | 27 | J. Murray | 28 | 4 | 7 |
| F | 0 | C. Braun | 15 | 5 | 4 |
| G-F | 10 | T. Hardaway Jr. | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Best Sportsbook Promotions
Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks? Loading...
Lakers vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lakers vs. Nuggets
- Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -4
- Total (Over/Under): 240.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lakers +145, Nuggets -164
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lakers: 37%
- Nuggets: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Lakers 118-121 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lakers a win probability of 37%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lakers vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
Related Articles
More Articles Loading...
...
...
Read Article
...
...
Read Article