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Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Rockets NBA game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Warriors
115
113
Mar 6, 12:30AM Toyota Center
Rockets
Mar 6, 12:30AM Toyota Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 OTT
Warriors
30 15 50 20 0 115
Rockets
20 25 48 20 0 113
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
WarriorsGSW
Win %
73%
27%
RocketsHOU
Win Probability
TEAM1234OTT
Warriors
30 15 50 20 0 115
Rockets
20 25 48 20 0 113
OT1 00:05 De'Anthony Melton makes two point tip layup
OT1 00:05 Al Horford misses two point tip layup
OT1 00:06 De'Anthony Melton misses two point driving floating jump shot
OT1 00:39 Al Horford makes two point jump shot
OT1 1:00 Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot
OT1 1:25 Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:49 Warriors makes two point jump shot
OT1 2:06 Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT1 2:32 Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot
OT1 2:47 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
OT
ALL
OT1 00:00
Rockets personal foul
OT1 00:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 00:00
Draymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Durant steals)
OT1 00:00
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
OT1 00:00
Rockets personal foul
OT1 00:00
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
OT1 00:04
Rockets offensive rebound
OT1 00:04
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-113
OT1 00:04
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
OT1 00:04
Draymond Green personal foul (Take) (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
OT1 00:04
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
OT1 00:04
Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
OT1 00:04
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
OT1 00:04
Warriors 60 second timeout
OT1 00:05
+2
De'Anthony Melton makes two point tip layup
115-113
OT1 00:05
Al Horford offensive rebound
OT1 00:05
De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
OT1 00:05
Al Horford misses two point tip layup
OT1 00:05
Rockets 60 second timeout
OT1 00:05
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
OT1 00:06
De'Anthony Melton misses two point driving floating jump shot
OT1 00:27
Draymond Green defensive rebound
OT1 00:29
De'Anthony Melton shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
OT1 00:29
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 3
115-113
OT1 00:29
Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 3 of 3
OT1 00:29
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 3
115-113
OT1 00:39
+2
Al Horford makes two point jump shot
115-113
OT1 1:00
+3
Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot
115-113
OT1 1:07
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
OT1 1:11
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-113
OT1 1:11
Draymond Green shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
OT1 1:11
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
OT1 1:11
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
OT1 1:12
Warriors turnover
OT1 1:23
Gui Santos defensive rebound
OT1 1:25
Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:41
Draymond Green personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
OT1 1:41
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
OT1 1:49
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
115-113
OT1 2:04
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
OT1 2:06
Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT1 2:32
+3
Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot
115-113
OT1 2:44
Gui Santos defensive rebound
OT1 2:47
Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT1 3:00
Warriors personal foul
OT1 3:08
Quinten Post turnover (offensive foul)
OT1 3:08
Quinten Post personal foul
OT1 3:19
+2
Alperen Sengun makes two point jump shot
106-106
OT1 3:19
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
OT1 3:23
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
OT1 3:33
LJ Cryer personal foul
OT1 3:44
+3
LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot
115-113
OT1 4:01
+3
Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
103-104
OT1 4:23
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
115-113
OT1 4:31
Draymond Green defensive rebound
OT1 4:33
Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT1 4:38
Al Horford blocks Alperen Sengun's two point jump shot
OT1 4:38
Rockets offensive rebound
OT1 4:38
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
OT1 4:38
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
OT1 4:39
Warriors turnover
OT1 4:40
Draymond Green offensive rebound
OT1 4:42
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
OT1 5:00
Al Horford vs. Alperen Sengun (Draymond Green gains possession)
Q4 00:00
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q4 00:00
Warriors turnover
Q4 00:00
Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:00
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:00
Gui Santos turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q4 00:00
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q4 00:00
Rockets offensive rebound
OT1 5:00
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
Q4 00:01
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q4 00:04
Jump ball. Al Horford (De'Anthony Melton gains possession)
Q4 00:06
Kevin Durant blocks De'Anthony Melton's two point stepback jump shot
Q4 00:06
Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
Q4 00:06
Rockets challenge timeout
Q4 00:06
Warriors offensive rebound
Q4 00:06
Kevin Durant personal foul
Q4 00:06
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q4 00:20
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
Q4 00:20
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q4 00:20
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
Q4 00:27
+2
Alperen Sengun makes two point driving hook shot
101-101
Q4 00:45
+3
Al Horford makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
111-106
Q4 1:07
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
111-106
Q4 1:19
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
115-113
Q4 1:42
+2
Alperen Sengun makes two point layup (Reed Sheppard assists)
106-106
Q4 1:42
De'Anthony Melton personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
Q4 1:42
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
Q4 1:42
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
115-113
Q4 1:48
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q4 1:51
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:12
Brandin Podziemski personal foul (Loose ball) (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
Q4 2:12
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-106
Q4 2:12
Rockets offensive rebound
Q4 2:12
Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 2:12
Rockets offensive rebound
Q4 2:13
Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:38
Rockets personal foul
Q4 2:38
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q4 2:38
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-113
Q4 2:38
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-113
Q4 2:49
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q4 2:51
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:06
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q4 3:09
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:18
Rockets turnover
Q4 3:39
+2
Draymond Green makes two point jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
106-106
Q4 3:39
Rockets personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
Q4 3:39
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 1
115-113
Q4 3:46
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q4 3:46
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
Q4 3:46
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q4 3:51
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q4 3:54
Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:07
Gui Santos turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q4 4:14
Quinten Post offensive rebound
Q4 4:17
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:47
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot
115-113
Q4 4:59
Gui Santos personal foul
Q4 5:10
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q4 5:12
Rockets personal foul
Q4 5:12
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-106
Q4 5:12
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
Q4 5:12
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q4 5:12
Quinten Post misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 5:30
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q4 5:31
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q4 5:32
Reed Sheppard misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 5:32
Josh Okogie misses two point tip layup
Q4 5:38
Warriors turnover
Q4 5:39
Quinten Post offensive rebound
Q4 5:42
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:02
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q4 6:06
Kevin Durant misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 6:09
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q4 6:12
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:22
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q4 6:22
Amen Thompson misses two point tip layup
Q4 6:22
Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:22
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q4 6:22
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 6:22
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q4 6:22
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
Q4 6:22
Rockets offensive rebound
Q4 6:35
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
Q4 6:35
Quinten Post personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
Q4 6:35
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
Q4 6:35
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q4 6:44
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Q4 6:49
LJ Cryer misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:02
Alperen Sengun turnover
Q4 7:06
LJ Cryer personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
Q4 7:06
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Quinten Post, Nate Williams)
Q4 7:15
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q4 7:19
Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:32
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q4 7:34
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:35
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 7:39
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:42
Josh Okogie offensive rebound
Q4 7:44
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:00
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
115-113
Q4 8:06
Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul
Q4 8:06
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
Q4 8:08
Al Horford offensive rebound
Q4 8:10
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:27
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
106-106
Q4 8:29
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q4 8:31
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:49
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q4 8:49
Gui Santos turnover (traveling)
Q4 8:49
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Nate Williams)
Q4 8:49
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
Q4 9:09
+3
Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot
87-88
Q4 9:30
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
111-106
Q4 9:37
Nate Williams offensive rebound
Q4 9:38
Nate Williams offensive rebound
Q4 9:40
Nate Williams misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 9:40
Nate Williams misses two point tip layup
Q4 10:00
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
106-106
Q4 10:09
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q4 10:11
De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
Q4 10:11
De'Anthony Melton misses two point layup
Q4 10:14
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:16
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Q4 10:19
Jabari Smith Jr. blocks De'Anthony Melton's two point running layup
Q4 10:22
Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (De'Anthony Melton steals)
Q4 10:43
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
106-106
Q4 10:53
Nate Williams offensive rebound
Q4 10:58
+2
De'Anthony Melton makes two point driving layup
87-88
Q4 10:58
Reed Sheppard shooting foul (De'Anthony Melton draws the foul)
Q4 10:58
De'Anthony Melton misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q4 11:03
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q4 11:04
Clint Capela misses two point tip layup
Q4 11:04
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Q4 11:08
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:15
Al Horford turnover (bad pass) (Clint Capela steals)
Q4 11:18
Reed Sheppard turnover (Al Horford steals)
Q4 11:29
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q4 11:29
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:29
Nate Williams personal foul
Q4 11:40
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Q4 11:45
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:51
Rockets personal foul
Q4 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Nate Williams)
Q4 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard)
Q3 00:00
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q3 00:01
Al Horford misses two point driving hook shot
Q3 00:22
+1
Clint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-78
Q3 00:22
Warriors personal foul
Q3 00:22
+1
Clint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-93
Q3 00:22
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Clint Capela, Josh Okogie)
Q3 00:22
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
Q3 00:31
+2
Gui Santos makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Quinten Post assists)
95-93
Q3 00:43
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
95-93
Q3 00:45
Gui Santos turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)
Q3 1:00
+3
Amen Thompson makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
79-78
Q3 1:23
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
Q3 1:23
Warriors turnover
Q3 1:47
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
95-93
Q3 2:02
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
95-93
Q3 2:10
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Q3 2:14
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:35
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q3 2:37
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:57
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
95-93
Q3 3:04
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q3 3:07
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:32
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q3 3:32
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Clint Capela, Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q3 3:33
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point pullup jump shot
87-88
Q3 3:47
+3
LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot
87-88
Q3 4:06
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point driving floating jump shot (Clint Capela assists)
74-67
Q3 4:11
Rockets offensive rebound
Q3 4:11
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 4:12
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:18
Warriors turnover
Q3 4:18
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q3 4:18
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:18
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q3 4:18
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
Q3 4:31
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
74-65
Q3 4:37
Alperen Sengun turnover (bad pass) (Draymond Green steals)
Q3 4:51
+2
Brandin Podziemski makes two point putback layup
71-65
Q3 4:52
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Q3 4:55
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:16
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Q3 5:19
Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:39
LJ Cryer turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 5:39
Warriors personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
Q3 5:51
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q3 5:51
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
Q3 5:51
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q3 5:52
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
79-78
Q3 5:55
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 5:57
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:58
De'Anthony Melton turnover (lost ball) (Jabari Smith Jr. steals)
Q3 6:14
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot
69-62
Q3 6:30
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
69-62
Q3 6:33
Rockets turnover
Q3 6:35
Brandin Podziemski misses two point tip layup
Q3 6:35
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q3 6:35
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Q3 6:38
Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:39
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Q3 6:41
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:02
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
69-62
Q3 7:13
+2
De'Anthony Melton makes two point jump shot
69-62
Q3 7:29
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
79-78
Q3 7:44
+3
Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot
69-62
Q3 8:01
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
69-62
Q3 8:13
Warriors personal foul
Q3 8:24
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q3 8:24
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Nate Williams)
Q3 8:28
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
62-54
Q3 8:38
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
69-62
Q3 8:53
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
62-54
Q3 8:53
Al Horford offensive rebound
Q3 8:56
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:24
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
62-54
Q3 9:36
+2
Gui Santos makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Draymond Green assists)
45-45
Q3 9:39
Rockets personal foul
Q3 9:49
Rockets personal foul
Q3 9:49
Instant replay (Request)
Q3 9:49
Draymond Green technical foul
Q3 9:49
+1
Kevin Durant makes technical free throw 1 of 1
74-65
Q3 9:49
Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 9:59
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
62-54
Q3 10:04
Kevin Durant turnover
Q3 10:30
+3
Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot
62-54
Q3 10:44
Rockets turnover
Q3 10:51
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 10:53
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:13
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Q3 11:13
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
69-62
Q3 11:16
Tari Eason misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:26
Warriors turnover
Q3 11:36
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q3 11:39
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:44
Warriors violation
Q2 00:00
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
45-45
Q2 00:00
Rockets turnover
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
Q3 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
Q2 00:03
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Q2 00:06
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:09
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q2 00:10
Amen Thompson misses two point layup
Q2 00:28
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 00:30
Reed Sheppard personal foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
Q2 00:30
+2
Gui Santos makes two point cutting layup (Draymond Green assists)
45-45
Q2 00:30
Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 00:30
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Gui Santos, Nate Williams)
Q2 00:36
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q2 00:39
Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:50
Warriors turnover
Q2 1:04
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)
45-45
Q2 1:18
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-45
Q2 1:18
Alperen Sengun personal foul (Pat Spencer draws the foul)
Q2 1:18
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q2 1:18
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-45
Q2 1:18
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
Q2 1:25
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
45-45
Q2 1:30
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q2 1:33
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:59
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
45-43
Q2 2:16
Warriors personal foul
Q2 2:16
Quinten Post turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 2:16
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q2 2:16
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Nate Williams)
Q2 2:29
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
45-40
Q2 2:44
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Q2 2:46
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:00
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q2 3:04
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:12
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q2 3:15
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:24
Rockets personal foul
Q2 3:24
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Nate Williams)
Q2 3:24
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q2 3:37
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
45-38
Q2 3:40
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q2 3:41
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Q2 3:41
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:44
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:55
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Q2 3:57
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:01
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Q2 4:04
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:23
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Q2 4:27
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:44
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q2 4:47
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:54
Rockets personal foul
Q2 4:54
Instant replay
Q2 4:54
+1
Gui Santos makes clear path free throw 1 of 2
45-35
Q2 4:54
Gui Santos misses clear path free throw 2 of 2
Q2 4:54
Warriors offensive rebound
Q2 4:56
Rockets turnover
Q2 5:09
Warriors personal foul
Q2 5:26
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
43-35
Q2 5:26
Rockets personal foul
Q2 5:26
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 1
44-35
Q2 5:37
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
41-35
Q2 5:51
Rockets offensive rebound
Q2 5:51
Warriors personal foul
Q2 5:51
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q2 5:52
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:08
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Q2 6:11
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:21
Warriors defensive rebound
Q2 6:21
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q2 6:21
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, De'Anthony Melton, Malevy Leons, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
Q2 6:21
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q2 6:21
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q2 6:22
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:47
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
41-33
Q2 6:54
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Q2 6:56
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:12
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
38-33
Q2 7:20
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q2 7:23
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:35
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:35
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q2 7:35
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Malevy Leons, Gui Santos)
Q2 7:48
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
38-31
Q2 7:54
Warriors personal foul
Q2 7:59
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q2 8:02
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:20
Rockets turnover
Q2 8:21
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 8:24
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:25
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 8:29
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:36
Warriors personal foul
Q2 8:50
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
38-29
Q2 9:04
Rockets turnover
Q2 9:04
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Malevy Leons, Gui Santos)
Q2 9:04
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
Q2 9:19
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
35-29
Q2 9:34
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
32-29
Q2 9:36
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q2 9:39
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:04
Rockets personal foul
Q2 10:04
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-26
Q2 10:04
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-26
Q2 10:18
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
30-26
Q2 10:28
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q2 10:31
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:44
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
30-24
Q2 10:54
Warriors turnover
Q2 11:16
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q2 11:16
Rockets turnover
Q2 11:18
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:29
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 11:32
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:48
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
30-22
Q1 00:00
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
30-20
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
Q2 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Quinten Post, Nate Williams)
Q1 00:20
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q1 00:20
Rockets turnover
Q1 00:24
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:33
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q1 00:36
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:50
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Q1 00:53
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:00
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q1 1:05
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:07
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 1:23
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Q1 1:26
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:40
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
28-20
Q1 1:54
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
26-20
Q1 2:07
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
26-18
Q1 2:21
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
24-18
Q1 2:40
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
24-15
Q1 2:52
Rockets personal foul
Q1 2:52
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q1 2:52
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Pat Spencer, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Nate Williams)
Q1 2:52
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Clint Capela, Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q1 3:01
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
22-15
Q1 3:09
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q1 3:11
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:27
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Q1 3:32
Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:41
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 3:43
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:53
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
22-13
Q1 3:57
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q1 4:00
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:09
Rockets turnover
Q1 4:09
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q1 4:26
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q1 4:26
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Nate Williams)
Q1 4:26
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
Q1 4:27
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
22-11
Q1 4:45
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q1 4:48
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:07
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
19-11
Q1 5:15
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q1 5:18
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:23
Warriors turnover
Q1 5:34
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Q1 5:36
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:49
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
16-11
Q1 6:11
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
16-9
Q1 6:31
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
14-9
Q1 6:33
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Q1 6:36
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:02
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
14-6
Q1 7:12
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Q1 7:15
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:34
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
11-6
Q1 7:41
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Q1 7:43
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:02
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
9-6
Q1 8:15
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q1 8:18
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:28
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q1 8:30
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:44
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
7-6
Q1 9:05
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
7-4
Q1 9:07
De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
Q1 9:09
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:17
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Q1 9:19
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:27
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q1 9:31
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:44
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:44
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q1 9:44
Warriors personal foul
Q1 9:44
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-3
Q1 9:44
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-4
Q1 9:46
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q1 9:49
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:04
Warriors personal foul
Q1 10:17
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
4-2
Q1 10:17
Rockets personal foul
Q1 10:17
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 1
5-2
Q1 10:26
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
2-2
Q1 10:33
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 10:35
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:56
Rockets turnover
Q1 11:05
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q1 11:08
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:19
Al Horford blocks Alperen Sengun's two point jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
On Court
On Court
Warriors
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F15 G. Santos 14 6 6
C20 A. Horford 17 6 5
G2 B. Podziemski 26 9 1
F23 D. Green 10 5 8
G8 D. Melton 23 6 2
Rockets
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G15 R. Sheppard 30 3 6
F7 K. Durant 23 6 3
F10 J. Smith Jr. 3 11 2
G1 A. Thompson 18 10 5
G20 J. Okogie 9 4 0

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Warriors vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Rockets
  • Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -9.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 214
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors +345, Rockets -395

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 23%
  • Rockets: 77%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 103-112 Rockets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 23%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 77%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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