Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Rockets NBA game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Warriors
115
113
Toyota Center
Rockets
Toyota Center
TEAM1234OTT
Warriors
30 15 50 20 0 115
Rockets
20 25 48 20 0 113
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Warriors
    73%
  • Rockets
    27%
Win Probability
TEAM1234OTT
Warriors
30 15 50 20 0 115
Rockets
20 25 48 20 0 113
OT1 00:05 De'Anthony Melton makes two point tip layup
OT1 00:05 Al Horford misses two point tip layup
OT1 00:06 De'Anthony Melton misses two point driving floating jump shot
OT1 00:39 Al Horford makes two point jump shot
OT1 1:00 Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot
OT1 1:25 Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:49 Warriors makes two point jump shot
OT1 2:06 Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT1 2:32 Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot
OT1 2:47 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. OT1 00:00
    Rockets personal foul
  2. OT1 00:00
    End of 1st OT.
  3. OT1 00:00
    Draymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Durant steals)
  4. OT1 00:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  5. OT1 00:00
    Rockets personal foul
  6. OT1 00:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  7. OT1 00:04
    Rockets offensive rebound
  8. OT1 00:04
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-113
  9. OT1 00:04
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
  10. OT1 00:04
    Draymond Green personal foul (Take) (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  11. OT1 00:04
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
  12. OT1 00:04
    Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  13. OT1 00:04
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  14. OT1 00:04
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  15. OT1 00:05
    +2
    De'Anthony Melton makes two point tip layup
    115-113
  16. OT1 00:05
    Al Horford offensive rebound
  17. OT1 00:05
    De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
  18. OT1 00:05
    Al Horford misses two point tip layup
  19. OT1 00:05
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  20. OT1 00:05
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  21. OT1 00:06
    De'Anthony Melton misses two point driving floating jump shot
  22. OT1 00:27
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  23. OT1 00:29
    De'Anthony Melton shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  24. OT1 00:29
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    115-113
  25. OT1 00:29
    Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 3 of 3
  26. OT1 00:29
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    115-113
  27. OT1 00:39
    +2
    Al Horford makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  28. OT1 1:00
    +3
    Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot
    115-113
  29. OT1 1:07
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  30. OT1 1:11
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-113
  31. OT1 1:11
    Draymond Green shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  32. OT1 1:11
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  33. OT1 1:11
    Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  34. OT1 1:12
    Warriors turnover
  35. OT1 1:23
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  36. OT1 1:25
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  37. OT1 1:41
    Draymond Green personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  38. OT1 1:41
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
  39. OT1 1:49
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  40. OT1 2:04
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  41. OT1 2:06
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  42. OT1 2:32
    +3
    Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot
    115-113
  43. OT1 2:44
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  44. OT1 2:47
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  45. OT1 3:00
    Warriors personal foul
  46. OT1 3:08
    Quinten Post turnover (offensive foul)
  47. OT1 3:08
    Quinten Post personal foul
  48. OT1 3:19
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point jump shot
    106-106
  49. OT1 3:19
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  50. OT1 3:23
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  51. OT1 3:33
    LJ Cryer personal foul
  52. OT1 3:44
    +3
    LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot
    115-113
  53. OT1 4:01
    +3
    Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    103-104
  54. OT1 4:23
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  55. OT1 4:31
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  56. OT1 4:33
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  57. OT1 4:38
    Al Horford blocks Alperen Sengun's two point jump shot
  58. OT1 4:38
    Rockets offensive rebound
  59. OT1 4:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  60. OT1 4:38
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
  61. OT1 4:39
    Warriors turnover
  62. OT1 4:40
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  63. OT1 4:42
    Al Horford misses three point jump shot
  64. OT1 5:00
    Al Horford vs. Alperen Sengun (Draymond Green gains possession)
  65. Q4 00:00
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  66. Q4 00:00
    Warriors turnover
  67. Q4 00:00
    Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
  68. Q4 00:00
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
  69. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  70. Q4 00:00
    Gui Santos turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  71. Q4 00:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  72. Q4 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  73. OT1 5:00
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
  74. Q4 00:01
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  75. Q4 00:04
    Jump ball. Al Horford (De'Anthony Melton gains possession)
  76. Q4 00:06
    Kevin Durant blocks De'Anthony Melton's two point stepback jump shot
  77. Q4 00:06
    Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
  78. Q4 00:06
    Rockets challenge timeout
  79. Q4 00:06
    Warriors offensive rebound
  80. Q4 00:06
    Kevin Durant personal foul
  81. Q4 00:06
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  82. Q4 00:20
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
  83. Q4 00:20
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  84. Q4 00:20
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
  85. Q4 00:27
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point driving hook shot
    101-101
  86. Q4 00:45
    +3
    Al Horford makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
    111-106
  87. Q4 1:07
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    111-106
  88. Q4 1:19
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    115-113
  89. Q4 1:42
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point layup (Reed Sheppard assists)
    106-106
  90. Q4 1:42
    De'Anthony Melton personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  91. Q4 1:42
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  92. Q4 1:42
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    115-113
  93. Q4 1:48
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  94. Q4 1:51
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  95. Q4 2:12
    Brandin Podziemski personal foul (Loose ball) (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
  96. Q4 2:12
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    106-106
  97. Q4 2:12
    Rockets offensive rebound
  98. Q4 2:12
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  99. Q4 2:12
    Rockets offensive rebound
  100. Q4 2:13
    Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
  101. Q4 2:38
    Rockets personal foul
  102. Q4 2:38
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  103. Q4 2:38
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-113
  104. Q4 2:38
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-113
  105. Q4 2:49
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  106. Q4 2:51
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  107. Q4 3:06
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  108. Q4 3:09
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  109. Q4 3:18
    Rockets turnover
  110. Q4 3:39
    +2
    Draymond Green makes two point jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
    106-106
  111. Q4 3:39
    Rockets personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
  112. Q4 3:39
    +1
    Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    115-113
  113. Q4 3:46
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  114. Q4 3:46
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
  115. Q4 3:46
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  116. Q4 3:51
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  117. Q4 3:54
    Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  118. Q4 4:07
    Gui Santos turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  119. Q4 4:14
    Quinten Post offensive rebound
  120. Q4 4:17
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  121. Q4 4:47
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  122. Q4 4:59
    Gui Santos personal foul
  123. Q4 5:10
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  124. Q4 5:12
    Rockets personal foul
  125. Q4 5:12
    +1
    Quinten Post makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-106
  126. Q4 5:12
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
  127. Q4 5:12
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  128. Q4 5:12
    Quinten Post misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  129. Q4 5:30
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  130. Q4 5:31
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  131. Q4 5:32
    Reed Sheppard misses three point stepback jump shot
  132. Q4 5:32
    Josh Okogie misses two point tip layup
  133. Q4 5:38
    Warriors turnover
  134. Q4 5:39
    Quinten Post offensive rebound
  135. Q4 5:42
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  136. Q4 6:02
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  137. Q4 6:06
    Kevin Durant misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  138. Q4 6:09
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  139. Q4 6:12
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  140. Q4 6:22
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  141. Q4 6:22
    Amen Thompson misses two point tip layup
  142. Q4 6:22
    Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
  143. Q4 6:22
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  144. Q4 6:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  145. Q4 6:22
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  146. Q4 6:22
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
  147. Q4 6:22
    Rockets offensive rebound
  148. Q4 6:35
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
  149. Q4 6:35
    Quinten Post personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  150. Q4 6:35
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
  151. Q4 6:35
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  152. Q4 6:44
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  153. Q4 6:49
    LJ Cryer misses three point jump shot
  154. Q4 7:02
    Alperen Sengun turnover
  155. Q4 7:06
    LJ Cryer personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
  156. Q4 7:06
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Quinten Post, Nate Williams)
  157. Q4 7:15
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  158. Q4 7:19
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
  159. Q4 7:32
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  160. Q4 7:34
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point jump shot
  161. Q4 7:35
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  162. Q4 7:39
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  163. Q4 7:42
    Josh Okogie offensive rebound
  164. Q4 7:44
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  165. Q4 8:00
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  166. Q4 8:06
    Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul
  167. Q4 8:06
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
  168. Q4 8:08
    Al Horford offensive rebound
  169. Q4 8:10
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  170. Q4 8:27
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    106-106
  171. Q4 8:29
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  172. Q4 8:31
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  173. Q4 8:49
    Stoppage (Blood rule)
  174. Q4 8:49
    Gui Santos turnover (traveling)
  175. Q4 8:49
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Nate Williams)
  176. Q4 8:49
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
  177. Q4 9:09
    +3
    Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot
    87-88
  178. Q4 9:30
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    111-106
  179. Q4 9:37
    Nate Williams offensive rebound
  180. Q4 9:38
    Nate Williams offensive rebound
  181. Q4 9:40
    Nate Williams misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  182. Q4 9:40
    Nate Williams misses two point tip layup
  183. Q4 10:00
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    106-106
  184. Q4 10:09
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  185. Q4 10:11
    De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
  186. Q4 10:11
    De'Anthony Melton misses two point layup
  187. Q4 10:14
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  188. Q4 10:16
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  189. Q4 10:19
    Jabari Smith Jr. blocks De'Anthony Melton's two point running layup
  190. Q4 10:22
    Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (De'Anthony Melton steals)
  191. Q4 10:43
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    106-106
  192. Q4 10:53
    Nate Williams offensive rebound
  193. Q4 10:58
    +2
    De'Anthony Melton makes two point driving layup
    87-88
  194. Q4 10:58
    Reed Sheppard shooting foul (De'Anthony Melton draws the foul)
  195. Q4 10:58
    De'Anthony Melton misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  196. Q4 11:03
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  197. Q4 11:04
    Clint Capela misses two point tip layup
  198. Q4 11:04
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  199. Q4 11:08
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  200. Q4 11:15
    Al Horford turnover (bad pass) (Clint Capela steals)
  201. Q4 11:18
    Reed Sheppard turnover (Al Horford steals)
  202. Q4 11:29
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  203. Q4 11:29
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  204. Q4 11:29
    Nate Williams personal foul
  205. Q4 11:40
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  206. Q4 11:45
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  207. Q4 11:51
    Rockets personal foul
  208. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Nate Williams)
  209. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard)
  210. Q3 00:00
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  211. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  212. Q3 00:01
    Al Horford misses two point driving hook shot
  213. Q3 00:22
    +1
    Clint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    79-78
  214. Q3 00:22
    Warriors personal foul
  215. Q3 00:22
    +1
    Clint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    95-93
  216. Q3 00:22
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Clint Capela, Josh Okogie)
  217. Q3 00:22
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
  218. Q3 00:31
    +2
    Gui Santos makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Quinten Post assists)
    95-93
  219. Q3 00:43
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    95-93
  220. Q3 00:45
    Gui Santos turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)
  221. Q3 1:00
    +3
    Amen Thompson makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    79-78
  222. Q3 1:23
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
  223. Q3 1:23
    Warriors turnover
  224. Q3 1:47
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    95-93
  225. Q3 2:02
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    95-93
  226. Q3 2:10
    LJ Cryer defensive rebound
  227. Q3 2:14
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  228. Q3 2:35
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  229. Q3 2:37
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  230. Q3 2:57
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    95-93
  231. Q3 3:04
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  232. Q3 3:07
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  233. Q3 3:32
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  234. Q3 3:32
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Clint Capela, Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  235. Q3 3:33
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point pullup jump shot
    87-88
  236. Q3 3:47
    +3
    LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot
    87-88
  237. Q3 4:06
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point driving floating jump shot (Clint Capela assists)
    74-67
  238. Q3 4:11
    Rockets offensive rebound
  239. Q3 4:11
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  240. Q3 4:12
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  241. Q3 4:18
    Warriors turnover
  242. Q3 4:18
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  243. Q3 4:18
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  244. Q3 4:18
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  245. Q3 4:18
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
  246. Q3 4:31
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    74-65
  247. Q3 4:37
    Alperen Sengun turnover (bad pass) (Draymond Green steals)
  248. Q3 4:51
    +2
    Brandin Podziemski makes two point putback layup
    71-65
  249. Q3 4:52
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  250. Q3 4:55
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  251. Q3 5:16
    LJ Cryer defensive rebound
  252. Q3 5:19
    Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
  253. Q3 5:39
    LJ Cryer turnover (offensive foul)
  254. Q3 5:39
    Warriors personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  255. Q3 5:51
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  256. Q3 5:51
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
  257. Q3 5:51
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  258. Q3 5:52
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    79-78
  259. Q3 5:55
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  260. Q3 5:57
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  261. Q3 5:58
    De'Anthony Melton turnover (lost ball) (Jabari Smith Jr. steals)
  262. Q3 6:14
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot
    69-62
  263. Q3 6:30
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    69-62
  264. Q3 6:33
    Rockets turnover
  265. Q3 6:35
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point tip layup
  266. Q3 6:35
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  267. Q3 6:35
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  268. Q3 6:38
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
  269. Q3 6:39
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  270. Q3 6:41
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  271. Q3 7:02
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    69-62
  272. Q3 7:13
    +2
    De'Anthony Melton makes two point jump shot
    69-62
  273. Q3 7:29
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    79-78
  274. Q3 7:44
    +3
    Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot
    69-62
  275. Q3 8:01
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    69-62
  276. Q3 8:13
    Warriors personal foul
  277. Q3 8:24
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  278. Q3 8:24
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Nate Williams)
  279. Q3 8:28
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    62-54
  280. Q3 8:38
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    69-62
  281. Q3 8:53
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    62-54
  282. Q3 8:53
    Al Horford offensive rebound
  283. Q3 8:56
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  284. Q3 9:24
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    62-54
  285. Q3 9:36
    +2
    Gui Santos makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Draymond Green assists)
    45-45
  286. Q3 9:39
    Rockets personal foul
  287. Q3 9:49
    Rockets personal foul
  288. Q3 9:49
    Instant replay (Request)
  289. Q3 9:49
    Draymond Green technical foul
  290. Q3 9:49
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    74-65
  291. Q3 9:49
    Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
  292. Q3 9:59
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    62-54
  293. Q3 10:04
    Kevin Durant turnover
  294. Q3 10:30
    +3
    Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot
    62-54
  295. Q3 10:44
    Rockets turnover
  296. Q3 10:51
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  297. Q3 10:53
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  298. Q3 11:13
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  299. Q3 11:13
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    69-62
  300. Q3 11:16
    Tari Eason misses two point jump shot
  301. Q3 11:26
    Warriors turnover
  302. Q3 11:36
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  303. Q3 11:39
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  304. Q3 11:44
    Warriors violation
  305. Q2 00:00
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    45-45
  306. Q2 00:00
    Rockets turnover
  307. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  308. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
  309. Q3 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  310. Q2 00:03
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  311. Q2 00:06
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  312. Q2 00:09
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  313. Q2 00:10
    Amen Thompson misses two point layup
  314. Q2 00:28
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  315. Q2 00:30
    Reed Sheppard personal foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
  316. Q2 00:30
    +2
    Gui Santos makes two point cutting layup (Draymond Green assists)
    45-45
  317. Q2 00:30
    Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  318. Q2 00:30
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Gui Santos, Nate Williams)
  319. Q2 00:36
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  320. Q2 00:39
    Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  321. Q2 00:50
    Warriors turnover
  322. Q2 1:04
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)
    45-45
  323. Q2 1:18
    +1
    Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-45
  324. Q2 1:18
    Alperen Sengun personal foul (Pat Spencer draws the foul)
  325. Q2 1:18
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  326. Q2 1:18
    +1
    Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    45-45
  327. Q2 1:18
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
  328. Q2 1:25
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    45-45
  329. Q2 1:30
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  330. Q2 1:33
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  331. Q2 1:59
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    45-43
  332. Q2 2:16
    Warriors personal foul
  333. Q2 2:16
    Quinten Post turnover (offensive foul)
  334. Q2 2:16
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  335. Q2 2:16
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Nate Williams)
  336. Q2 2:29
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    45-40
  337. Q2 2:44
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  338. Q2 2:46
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  339. Q2 3:00
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  340. Q2 3:04
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  341. Q2 3:12
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  342. Q2 3:15
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  343. Q2 3:24
    Rockets personal foul
  344. Q2 3:24
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Nate Williams)
  345. Q2 3:24
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  346. Q2 3:37
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    45-38
  347. Q2 3:40
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  348. Q2 3:41
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  349. Q2 3:41
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  350. Q2 3:44
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  351. Q2 3:55
    LJ Cryer defensive rebound
  352. Q2 3:57
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  353. Q2 4:01
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  354. Q2 4:04
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  355. Q2 4:23
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  356. Q2 4:27
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  357. Q2 4:44
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  358. Q2 4:47
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  359. Q2 4:54
    Rockets personal foul
  360. Q2 4:54
    Instant replay
  361. Q2 4:54
    +1
    Gui Santos makes clear path free throw 1 of 2
    45-35
  362. Q2 4:54
    Gui Santos misses clear path free throw 2 of 2
  363. Q2 4:54
    Warriors offensive rebound
  364. Q2 4:56
    Rockets turnover
  365. Q2 5:09
    Warriors personal foul
  366. Q2 5:26
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    43-35
  367. Q2 5:26
    Rockets personal foul
  368. Q2 5:26
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    44-35
  369. Q2 5:37
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    41-35
  370. Q2 5:51
    Rockets offensive rebound
  371. Q2 5:51
    Warriors personal foul
  372. Q2 5:51
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  373. Q2 5:52
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  374. Q2 6:08
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  375. Q2 6:11
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  376. Q2 6:21
    Warriors defensive rebound
  377. Q2 6:21
    Stoppage (Blood rule)
  378. Q2 6:21
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, De'Anthony Melton, Malevy Leons, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
  379. Q2 6:21
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  380. Q2 6:21
    Stoppage (Blood rule)
  381. Q2 6:22
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  382. Q2 6:47
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    41-33
  383. Q2 6:54
    Malevy Leons offensive rebound
  384. Q2 6:56
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  385. Q2 7:12
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    38-33
  386. Q2 7:20
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  387. Q2 7:23
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  388. Q2 7:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  389. Q2 7:35
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  390. Q2 7:35
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Malevy Leons, Gui Santos)
  391. Q2 7:48
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    38-31
  392. Q2 7:54
    Warriors personal foul
  393. Q2 7:59
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  394. Q2 8:02
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  395. Q2 8:20
    Rockets turnover
  396. Q2 8:21
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  397. Q2 8:24
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  398. Q2 8:25
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  399. Q2 8:29
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  400. Q2 8:36
    Warriors personal foul
  401. Q2 8:50
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    38-29
  402. Q2 9:04
    Rockets turnover
  403. Q2 9:04
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Malevy Leons, Gui Santos)
  404. Q2 9:04
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
  405. Q2 9:19
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    35-29
  406. Q2 9:34
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    32-29
  407. Q2 9:36
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  408. Q2 9:39
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  409. Q2 10:04
    Rockets personal foul
  410. Q2 10:04
    +1
    Quinten Post makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    31-26
  411. Q2 10:04
    +1
    Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    32-26
  412. Q2 10:18
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    30-26
  413. Q2 10:28
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  414. Q2 10:31
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  415. Q2 10:44
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    30-24
  416. Q2 10:54
    Warriors turnover
  417. Q2 11:16
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  418. Q2 11:16
    Rockets turnover
  419. Q2 11:18
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  420. Q2 11:29
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  421. Q2 11:32
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  422. Q2 11:48
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    30-22
  423. Q1 00:00
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    30-20
  424. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  425. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
  426. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Quinten Post, Nate Williams)
  427. Q1 00:20
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  428. Q1 00:20
    Rockets turnover
  429. Q1 00:24
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  430. Q1 00:33
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  431. Q1 00:36
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  432. Q1 00:50
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  433. Q1 00:53
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  434. Q1 1:00
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  435. Q1 1:05
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  436. Q1 1:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  437. Q1 1:23
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  438. Q1 1:26
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  439. Q1 1:40
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    28-20
  440. Q1 1:54
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    26-20
  441. Q1 2:07
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    26-18
  442. Q1 2:21
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    24-18
  443. Q1 2:40
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    24-15
  444. Q1 2:52
    Rockets personal foul
  445. Q1 2:52
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  446. Q1 2:52
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Pat Spencer, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Nate Williams)
  447. Q1 2:52
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Clint Capela, Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  448. Q1 3:01
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    22-15
  449. Q1 3:09
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  450. Q1 3:11
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  451. Q1 3:27
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  452. Q1 3:32
    Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
  453. Q1 3:41
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  454. Q1 3:43
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  455. Q1 3:53
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    22-13
  456. Q1 3:57
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  457. Q1 4:00
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  458. Q1 4:09
    Rockets turnover
  459. Q1 4:09
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  460. Q1 4:26
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  461. Q1 4:26
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Nate Williams)
  462. Q1 4:26
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant)
  463. Q1 4:27
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    22-11
  464. Q1 4:45
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  465. Q1 4:48
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  466. Q1 5:07
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    19-11
  467. Q1 5:15
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  468. Q1 5:18
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  469. Q1 5:23
    Warriors turnover
  470. Q1 5:34
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  471. Q1 5:36
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  472. Q1 5:49
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    16-11
  473. Q1 6:11
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    16-9
  474. Q1 6:31
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    14-9
  475. Q1 6:33
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  476. Q1 6:36
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  477. Q1 7:02
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    14-6
  478. Q1 7:12
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  479. Q1 7:15
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  480. Q1 7:34
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    11-6
  481. Q1 7:41
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  482. Q1 7:43
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  483. Q1 8:02
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    9-6
  484. Q1 8:15
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  485. Q1 8:18
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  486. Q1 8:28
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  487. Q1 8:30
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  488. Q1 8:44
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    7-6
  489. Q1 9:05
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    7-4
  490. Q1 9:07
    De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
  491. Q1 9:09
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  492. Q1 9:17
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  493. Q1 9:19
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  494. Q1 9:27
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  495. Q1 9:31
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  496. Q1 9:44
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  497. Q1 9:44
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  498. Q1 9:44
    Warriors personal foul
  499. Q1 9:44
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    5-3
  500. Q1 9:44
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    5-4
  501. Q1 9:46
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  502. Q1 9:49
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  503. Q1 10:04
    Warriors personal foul
  504. Q1 10:17
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    4-2
  505. Q1 10:17
    Rockets personal foul
  506. Q1 10:17
    +1
    De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    5-2
  507. Q1 10:26
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  508. Q1 10:33
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  509. Q1 10:35
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  510. Q1 10:56
    Rockets turnover
  511. Q1 11:05
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  512. Q1 11:08
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  513. Q1 11:19
    Al Horford blocks Alperen Sengun's two point jump shot
Box Score
Warriors
PosPlayerPts
Rockets
PosPlayerPts

Warriors vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Rockets
  • Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -9.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 214
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors +345, Rockets -395

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 23%
  • Rockets: 77%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 103-112 Rockets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 23%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 77%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.