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Pelicans vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Kings NBA game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Pelicans
133
123
Mar 6, 3AM Golden 1 Center
Kings
Mar 6, 3AM Golden 1 Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Pelicans
26 105 0 0 133
Kings
30 89 0 0 123
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
PelicansNOP
Win %
98%
2%
KingsSAC
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pelicans
26 105 0 0 133
Kings
30 89 0 0 123
Q4 00:00 Micah Peavy misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:08 Malik Monk makes two point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)
Q4 00:52 Precious Achiuwa makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Trey Murphy III misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:28 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:38 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:23 Herbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
Q4 2:44 Kings makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:00
Micah Peavy misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:08
+2
Malik Monk makes two point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)
131-119
Q4 00:22
DeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Micah Peavy draws the foul)
Q4 00:22
+1
Micah Peavy makes regular free throw 2 of 2
131-119
Q4 00:22
+1
Micah Peavy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
131-119
Q4 00:39
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Bryce McGowens, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Q4 00:39
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
131-119
Q4 00:39
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
131-119
Q4 00:39
Jeremiah Fears personal foul
Q4 00:40
Jeremiah Fears turnover (lost ball) (Russell Westbrook steals)
Q4 00:52
+3
Precious Achiuwa makes three point jump shot
131-119
Q4 1:02
Pelicans personal foul
Q4 1:02
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Bryce McGowens, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Q4 1:05
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Q4 1:07
Trey Murphy III misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:25
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Q4 1:28
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:38
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
131-116
Q4 1:41
Russell Westbrook turnover (Trey Murphy III steals)
Q4 1:49
+3
Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot
129-116
Q4 1:49
Kings 60 second timeout
Q4 2:01
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Q4 2:03
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:23
+3
Herbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
126-116
Q4 2:44
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
131-116
Q4 2:45
Drew Eubanks offensive rebound
Q4 2:49
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:02
Malik Monk personal foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
Q4 3:02
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
131-119
Q4 3:02
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 3:02
Pelicans offensive rebound
Q4 3:11
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Q4 3:13
Pelicans lineup change (Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic)
Q4 3:14
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
131-119
Q4 3:25
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
131-119
Q4 3:45
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
131-119
Q4 3:47
Precious Achiuwa offensive rebound
Q4 3:49
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:51
Drew Eubanks offensive rebound
Q4 3:59
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:01
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:13
Pelicans personal foul
Q4 4:27
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Q4 4:27
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point putback dunk
131-119
Q4 4:30
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:45
Jeremiah Fears personal foul
Q4 4:45
Drew Eubanks misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 4:45
Kings offensive rebound
Q4 4:45
+1
Drew Eubanks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
131-119
Q4 4:45
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears)
Q4 4:51
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Q4 4:54
Derik Queen misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:12
+2
Drew Eubanks makes two point alley-oop layup (Russell Westbrook assists)
118-109
Q4 5:21
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
118-107
Q4 5:21
Kings 60 second timeout
Q4 5:21
Kings lineup change (Drew Eubanks, DeMar DeRozan, Malik Monk, Precious Achiuwa, Russell Westbrook)
Q4 5:26
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Q4 5:31
Russell Westbrook misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:35
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Q4 5:36
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:36
Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
Q4 5:38
Bryce McGowens misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:41
Jump ball. Jeremiah Fears vs. Precious Achiuwa (Derik Queen gains possession)
Q4 5:47
Pelicans offensive rebound
Q4 5:47
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:54
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
131-116
Q4 5:56
Malik Monk defensive rebound
Q4 5:59
Zion Williamson misses two point running layup
Q4 6:06
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Q4 6:08
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:28
Daeqwon Plowden personal foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
Q4 6:28
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
131-119
Q4 6:28
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
131-119
Q4 6:36
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
118-107
Q4 6:36
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Q4 6:36
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Bryce McGowens, Jeremiah Fears)
Q4 6:46
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Q4 6:47
Derik Queen misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 7:17
+2
Drew Eubanks makes two point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)
114-103
Q4 7:32
+3
Jeremiah Fears makes three point jump shot
114-101
Q4 7:46
Pelicans defensive rebound
Q4 7:46
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:46
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Bryce McGowens, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears)
Q4 7:46
Kings lineup change (Drew Eubanks, Malik Monk, Precious Achiuwa, Daeqwon Plowden, Russell Westbrook)
Q4 7:48
Malik Monk misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:55
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Q4 7:58
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:17
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
111-101
Q4 8:28
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Q4 8:32
Karlo Matkovic misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:47
Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
Q4 8:51
Precious Achiuwa blocks Bryce McGowens's two point jump shot
Q4 8:53
Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
Q4 8:56
Malik Monk misses two point driving layup
Q4 8:56
Malik Monk turnover (lost ball)
Q4 9:12
Malik Monk shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)
Q4 9:12
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-101
Q4 9:12
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Q4 9:12
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Q4 9:12
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
131-116
Q4 9:27
+1
Precious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-107
Q4 9:27
Karlo Matkovic shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)
Q4 9:27
Precious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 9:27
Kings offensive rebound
Q4 9:48
Precious Achiuwa shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)
Q4 9:48
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:48
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-107
Q4 9:48
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
131-119
Q4 10:09
+3
Daeqwon Plowden makes three point jump shot
107-98
Q4 10:17
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Q4 10:20
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:31
+2
Killian Hayes makes two point jump shot
107-95
Q4 10:52
+2
Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot
107-93
Q4 11:08
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
105-93
Q4 11:12
Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
Q4 11:16
Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:24
Bryce McGowens offensive rebound
Q4 11:26
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:37
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Q4 11:41
Killian Hayes misses three point jump shot
Q4 12:00
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Bryce McGowens, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic)
Q3 00:00
Kings offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
Killian Hayes misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q3 00:04
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
114-103
Q3 00:20
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
114-103
Q3 00:22
Killian Hayes defensive rebound
Q3 00:25
Jeremiah Fears misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:28
Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
Q3 00:31
Herbert Jones misses three point pullup jump shot
Q3 00:50
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Q3 00:52
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
102-89
Q3 00:52
Jeremiah Fears shooting foul (Drew Eubanks draws the foul)
Q3 00:52
Drew Eubanks misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q3 1:00
Drew Eubanks offensive rebound
Q3 1:04
Daeqwon Plowden misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:12
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Q3 1:17
Bryce McGowens misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:26
Killian Hayes personal foul (Jeremiah Fears draws the foul)
Q3 1:32
Pelicans personal foul
Q3 1:32
+1
Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-107
Q3 1:32
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Bryce McGowens, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Q3 1:32
+1
Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
131-119
Q3 1:43
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
102-85
Q3 1:56
+2
Malik Monk makes two point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)
118-107
Q3 2:06
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
118-107
Q3 2:15
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Q3 2:19
Malik Monk misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:32
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
118-107
Q3 2:52
+2
Malik Monk makes two point jump shot
118-107
Q3 3:05
Kings 60 second timeout
Q3 3:05
Kings lineup change (Drew Eubanks, Killian Hayes, Malik Monk, Precious Achiuwa, Daeqwon Plowden)
Q3 3:07
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
107-98
Q3 3:18
Pelicans defensive rebound
Q3 3:18
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Q3 3:18
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 3:22
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:35
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
118-107
Q3 3:45
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Q3 3:45
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:01
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
118-107
Q3 4:11
Russell Westbrook personal foul (Karlo Matkovic draws the foul)
Q3 4:15
Kings turnover
Q3 4:32
Kings lineup change (Maxime Raynaud, Malik Monk, Precious Achiuwa, Daeqwon Plowden, Russell Westbrook)
Q3 4:32
Kings 60 second timeout
Q3 4:33
+3
Saddiq Bey makes three point jump shot (Zion Williamson assists)
118-107
Q3 4:41
Maxime Raynaud turnover (Karlo Matkovic steals)
Q3 4:57
+3
Saddiq Bey makes three point jump shot
118-107
Q3 5:14
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Q3 5:18
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:23
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 5:44
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
118-107
Q3 5:52
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Q3 5:55
Karlo Matkovic shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)
Q3 5:55
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q3 5:55
+1
Precious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-107
Q3 5:55
Precious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 5:57
Kings misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:17
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
107-98
Q3 6:35
+2
Precious Achiuwa makes two point jump shot
78-80
Q3 6:57
Pelicans turnover
Q3 7:14
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
118-107
Q3 7:14
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Q3 7:14
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Q3 7:18
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Q3 7:21
Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:29
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Q3 7:33
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:44
Yves Missi turnover (out of bounds step)
Q3 7:46
DeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball)
Q3 7:47
Yves Missi turnover (bad pass)
Q3 8:01
+2
Precious Achiuwa makes two point driving layup
131-119
Q3 8:05
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Q3 8:08
Zion Williamson misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Q3 8:26
+2
Precious Achiuwa makes two point driving finger roll layup (Russell Westbrook assists)
118-107
Q3 8:37
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
78-72
Q3 8:49
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 9:00
Pelicans defensive rebound
Q3 9:00
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:01
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 9:19
+3
Herbert Jones makes three point jump shot
76-72
Q3 9:29
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot
73-72
Q3 9:49
+2
Yves Missi makes two point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
73-70
Q3 10:11
+2
Russell Westbrook makes two point running jump shot
71-69
Q3 10:11
Pelicans personal foul
Q3 10:11
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 1
131-119
Q3 10:14
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Q3 10:16
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:31
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
71-67
Q3 10:38
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Q3 10:43
Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:04
+2
Maxime Raynaud makes two point jump shot (Nique Clifford assists)
71-65
Q3 11:17
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
71-63
Q3 11:25
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Q3 11:29
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:45
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
69-63
Q2 00:00
Derik Queen misses three point jump shot
Q3 12:00
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey)
Q3 12:00
Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud, Precious Achiuwa, Russell Westbrook)
Q2 00:00
Derik Queen misses heave shot
Q2 00:00
Pelicans offensive rebound
Q2 1:00
Herbert Jones turnover (bad pass)
Q2 2:14
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Yves Missi, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens)
Q2 2:27
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Yves Missi, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens)
Q2 2:27
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Yves Missi, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens)
Q2 2:27
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Yves Missi, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens)
Q1 1:47
DeMar DeRozan offensive rebound
Q1 1:55
DeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Pelicans
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G-F14 M. Peavy 2 0 0
G11 B. McGowens 14 6 2
C22 D. Queen 12 9 5
F-C17 K. Matkovic 9 9 2
G0 J. Fears 13 6 6
Kings
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G0 M. Monk 18 1 4
F10 D. DeRozan 15 2 2
F9 P. Achiuwa 29 12 5
G18 R. Westbrook 19 2 10
F-C19 D. Eubanks 15 11 0

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Pelicans vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pelicans vs. Kings
  • Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pelicans favored at -6.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pelicans -260, Kings +225

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pelicans: 72%
  • Kings: 28%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 121-114 Kings.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 72%, while the Kings have a win probability of 28%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pelicans are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pelicans vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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