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Mavericks vs. Magic Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Magic NBA game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Mavericks
75
:
75
Mar 6, 12AM Kia Center
Magic
Mar 6, 12AM Kia Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Mavericks
33 29 13 0 75
Magic
26 34 15 0 75
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
MavericksDAL
Win %
27%
73%
MagicORL
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Mavericks
33 29 13 0 75
Magic
26 34 15 0 75
Q3 5:03 Anthony Black makes two point jump shot
Q3 5:16 P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot
Q3 5:42 Magic misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:51 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:07 Jalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)
Q3 6:30 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q3 7:09 Jalen Suggs makes two point layup
Q3 7:26 Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:08 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q3 8:18 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q3 3:51
Ryan Nembhard personal foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)
Q3 4:36
Magic turnover
Q3 5:03
+2
Anthony Black makes two point jump shot
75-75
Q3 5:16
+3
P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot
75-73
Q3 5:30
Jalen Suggs turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q3 5:30
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Anthony Black, Jevon Carter, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
Q3 5:30
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Khris Middleton)
Q3 5:40
Desmond Bane offensive rebound
Q3 5:42
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:49
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Q3 5:51
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:07
+3
Jalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)
72-73
Q3 6:15
Naji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Paolo Banchero steals)
Q3 6:19
Magic turnover
Q3 6:30
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
72-70
Q3 6:48
Dwight Powell personal foul
Q3 6:48
+1
Wendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-69
Q3 6:48
+1
Wendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-70
Q3 6:55
Khris Middleton personal foul
Q3 6:55
Khris Middleton turnover
Q3 6:55
+1
Desmond Bane makes technical free throw 1 of 1
70-68
Q3 7:09
+2
Jalen Suggs makes two point layup
70-67
Q3 7:25
Magic defensive rebound
Q3 7:25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 7:25
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
Q3 7:26
Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:45
Magic turnover
Q3 7:52
Mavericks technical foul (Defensive three second)
Q3 7:52
Magic personal foul
Q3 7:52
+1
Desmond Bane makes technical free throw 1 of 1
70-67
Q3 8:08
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
70-64
Q3 8:13
Mavericks turnover
Q3 8:13
Magic turnover
Q3 8:15
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Q3 8:18
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:31
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q3 8:31
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
Q3 8:33
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
68-64
Q3 8:40
Mavericks turnover
Q3 8:55
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q3 8:58
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:12
Stoppage (Other)
Q3 9:14
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
68-62
Q3 9:23
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q3 9:25
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:30
Mavericks turnover
Q3 9:39
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q3 9:41
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:48
Mavericks turnover
Q3 10:05
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
65-62
Q3 10:15
Mavericks personal foul
Q3 10:27
Desmond Bane personal foul
Q3 10:27
Magic personal foul
Q3 10:27
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 3
63-60
Q3 10:27
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 3
64-60
Q3 10:27
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 3 of 3
65-60
Q3 10:29
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Q3 10:32
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:37
Jump ball. (Jalen Suggs gains possession)
Q3 10:37
Daniel Gafford turnover (lost ball)
Q3 10:44
Magic personal foul
Q3 10:44
Magic 60 second timeout
Q3 10:44
Magic challenge timeout
Q3 10:44
Instant replay
Q3 10:44
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving layup
Q3 10:44
Magic defensive rebound
Q3 10:44
Magic 60 second timeout
Q3 10:55
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:55
Mavericks defensive rebound
Q3 10:55
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 11:03
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Q3 11:05
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:16
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Q3 11:18
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:40
Jump ball. (Anthony Black gains possession)
Q3 11:40
P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball)
Q3 11:43
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Q3 11:44
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Magic offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Desmond Bane, Anthony Black, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
Q3 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
Q2 00:01
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Q2 00:05
Magic personal foul
Q2 00:05
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 00:05
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q2 00:05
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Daniel Gafford)
Q2 00:05
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane, Jevon Carter, Paolo Banchero)
Q2 00:05
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 00:17
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
62-60
Q2 00:32
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Q2 00:34
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:40
Magic personal foul
Q2 00:40
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Noah Penda, Goga Bitadze, Desmond Bane, Paolo Banchero)
Q2 00:47
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
62-58
Q2 00:47
Mavericks violation
Q2 00:48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:00
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
62-56
Q2 1:21
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
60-56
Q2 1:39
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
60-54
Q2 2:00
Max Christie defensive rebound
Q2 2:02
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:05
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Q2 2:07
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:21
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
58-53
Q2 2:21
Mavericks personal foul
Q2 2:21
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 1 of 1
58-54
Q2 2:26
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:27
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:28
Magic defensive rebound
Q2 2:29
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:41
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Q2 2:44
Goga Bitadze offensive rebound
Q2 2:44
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
58-51
Q2 2:44
Mavericks personal foul
Q2 2:44
Goga Bitadze misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 2:44
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
Q2 2:45
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:55
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
58-49
Q2 3:10
+3
Magic makes three point jump shot
56-49
Q2 3:24
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
56-46
Q2 3:30
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Q2 3:32
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:49
Magic 60 second timeout
Q2 3:49
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
Q2 3:50
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
54-46
Q2 3:55
Magic turnover
Q2 3:57
Goga Bitadze defensive rebound
Q2 4:00
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:23
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:23
Mavericks defensive rebound
Q2 4:23
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:23
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Goga Bitadze, Desmond Bane, Anthony Black, Paolo Banchero)
Q2 4:30
Anthony Black offensive rebound
Q2 4:32
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:46
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
52-46
Q2 5:01
+3
Magic makes three point jump shot
49-46
Q2 5:16
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
49-43
Q2 5:18
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Q2 5:21
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:47
Magic personal foul
Q2 5:47
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 5:47
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q2 5:47
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton)
Q2 5:47
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Noah Penda, Goga Bitadze, Anthony Black, Paolo Banchero)
Q2 5:47
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-43
Q2 5:47
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Noah Penda, Goga Bitadze, Anthony Black, Jevon Carter)
Q2 6:01
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
46-43
Q2 6:07
Jalen Suggs defensive rebound
Q2 6:10
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:15
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Q2 6:17
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:27
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
46-41
Q2 6:47
Magic personal foul
Q2 6:47
Mavericks personal foul
Q2 6:47
+1
Tristan da Silva makes technical free throw 1 of 1
44-39
Q2 6:47
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-39
Q2 6:47
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-39
Q2 7:03
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Q2 7:06
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:24
Mavericks personal foul
Q2 7:24
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
Q2 7:32
Mavericks turnover
Q2 7:48
+3
Magic makes three point jump shot
44-38
Q2 8:04
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
44-35
Q2 8:26
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
42-35
Q2 8:30
Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 8:33
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:42
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
42-33
Q2 8:42
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q2 8:42
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
Q2 8:42
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Noah Penda, Tristan da Silva, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
Q2 8:48
Mavericks turnover
Q2 9:13
+3
Magic makes three point jump shot
42-31
Q2 9:18
Noah Penda defensive rebound
Q2 9:20
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:29
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q2 9:32
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:50
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
42-28
Q2 10:01
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Q2 10:04
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:15
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
40-28
Q2 10:31
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
38-28
Q2 10:44
Magic personal foul
Q2 10:44
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-26
Q2 10:44
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-26
Q2 10:44
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Noah Penda, Moritz Wagner, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane)
Q2 10:48
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Q2 10:50
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:08
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
36-26
Q2 11:16
Magic turnover
Q2 11:32
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Q2 11:36
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford)
Q1 00:02
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
33-26
Q1 00:17
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:17
Tristan da Silva offensive rebound
Q1 00:17
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
31-26
Q1 00:27
Noah Penda offensive rebound
Q1 00:27
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 00:29
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:48
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
32-24
Q1 00:54
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
29-24
Q1 1:10
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot
29-22
Q1 1:20
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q1 1:22
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:32
Moritz Wagner defensive rebound
Q1 1:35
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:57
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
26-22
Q1 2:04
Tristan da Silva defensive rebound
Q1 2:07
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:33
+3
Magic makes three point jump shot
26-20
Q1 2:40
Noah Penda defensive rebound
Q1 2:43
Magic turnover
Q1 2:43
Magic personal foul
Q1 2:43
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-19
Q1 2:43
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson)
Q1 2:43
Magic lineup change (Noah Penda, Moritz Wagner, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane, Jevon Carter)
Q1 2:43
Caleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 2:47
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
25-19
Q1 2:57
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
25-17
Q1 2:59
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Q1 3:04
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:10
Mavericks turnover
Q1 3:16
Magic turnover
Q1 3:26
Moritz Wagner defensive rebound
Q1 3:29
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:44
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 3:44
+1
Moritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-16
Q1 3:44
+1
Moritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-17
Q1 4:02
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
23-15
Q1 4:05
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Q1 4:08
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:20
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
20-15
Q1 4:25
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Q1 4:28
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:51
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Q1 4:54
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:12
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
18-15
Q1 5:12
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q1 5:12
Magic lineup change (Moritz Wagner, Tristan da Silva, Anthony Black, Jevon Carter, Paolo Banchero)
Q1 5:12
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson)
Q1 5:20
Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 5:24
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:43
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
18-13
Q1 5:44
Paolo Banchero offensive rebound
Q1 5:46
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:57
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:57
Magic offensive rebound
Q1 5:57
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 5:57
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson)
Q1 5:57
Magic lineup change (Tristan da Silva, Anthony Black, Jevon Carter, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
Q1 6:07
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
18-11
Q1 6:12
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
15-11
Q1 6:22
Wendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound
Q1 6:27
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:34
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Q1 6:36
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:44
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Q1 6:47
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:10
Stoppage (Other)
Q1 7:10
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
Q1 7:12
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
15-9
Q1 7:26
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
12-9
Q1 7:40
Magic personal foul
Q1 7:40
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-7
Q1 7:40
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-7
Q1 8:03
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
10-7
Q1 8:07
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Q1 8:11
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:19
Wendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound
Q1 8:19
Magic turnover
Q1 8:21
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:21
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 8:34
Mavericks turnover
Q1 8:44
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Q1 8:44
Magic personal foul
Q1 8:47
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:01
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 9:01
Paolo Banchero misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 9:01
Magic offensive rebound
Q1 9:01
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
Q1 9:01
+1
Paolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-5
Q1 9:06
Anthony Black offensive rebound
Q1 9:09
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:20
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
10-4
Q1 9:32
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Q1 9:35
Magic misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:49
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Q1 9:49
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
8-4
Q1 9:49
Magic 60 second timeout
Q1 9:51
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:05
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:05
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q1 10:05
Magic personal foul
Q1 10:18
Mavericks personal foul
Q1 10:18
+1
Wendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-3
Q1 10:18
+1
Wendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
6-3
Q1 10:24
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
6-2
Q1 10:25
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Q1 10:27
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:33
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
3-2
Q1 10:43
Magic turnover
Q1 10:44
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Q1 10:48
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:06
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Q1 11:08
Magic misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:30
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
3-0
Q1 11:45
Magic turnover
Q1 12:00
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Desmond Bane, Anthony Black, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
Q1 12:00
Daniel Gafford (Paolo Banchero gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F-C7 D. Powell 2 3 0
G31 K. Thompson 18 2 0
F16 C. Martin 3 2 0
G0 M. Christie 6 1 2
G32 C. Flagg 15 4 5
Magic
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F3 D. Bane 12 4 3
C-F35 G. Bitadze 8 2 1
G-F93 N. Penda 4 3 0
F23 T. da Silva 14 3 2
G2 J. Carter 5 2 4

Game Prediction Article

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Mavericks vs. Magic: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mavericks vs. Magic
  • Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Kia Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Magic favored at -8
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +278, Magic -320

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mavericks: 28%
  • Magic: 72%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 112-119 Magic.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 28%, while the Magic have a win probability of 72%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Magic are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Kia Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mavericks vs. Magic predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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