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Mavericks vs. Magic Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Magic NBA game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
114
115
Mar 6, 12AM Kia Center
Mar 6, 12AM Kia Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 33 | 29 | 26 | 26 | 114 |
Magic | 26 | 34 | 31 | 24 | 115 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
10%
90%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 33 | 29 | 26 | 26 | 114 |
Magic | 26 | 34 | 31 | 24 | 115 |
Q4 00:01 Wendell Carter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Suggs assists)
Q4 00:08 Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:32 Jalen Suggs makes three point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:37 Cooper Flagg makes two point driving layup (Khris Middleton assists)
Q4 00:46 Cooper Flagg blocks Wendell Carter Jr.'s two point layup
Q4 00:51 Paolo Banchero misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 1:12 Daniel Gafford makes two point turnaround hook shot (Klay Thompson assists)
Q4 1:30 Tristan da Silva makes two point driving floating jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)
Q4 1:43 Khris Middleton makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 2:00 Tristan da Silva makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Instant replay (Request: Stands)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Khris Middleton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Instant replay (Request)
Instant replay (Request)
Instant replay
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Instant replay (Request: Stands)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+2
Wendell Carter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Suggs assists)
114-115
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton)
Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Jalen Suggs makes three point pullup jump shot
114-113
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Goga Bitadze, Desmond Bane, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
Wendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving layup (Khris Middleton assists)
113-110
Magic 60 second timeout
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 1
114-110
Cooper Flagg blocks Wendell Carter Jr.'s two point layup
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Wendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound
Paolo Banchero misses three point stepback jump shot
P.J. Washington personal foul (Tristan da Silva draws the foul)
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point turnaround hook shot (Klay Thompson assists)
111-110
+2
Tristan da Silva makes two point driving floating jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)
109-110
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
109-108
+3
Tristan da Silva makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)
107-108
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point pullup jump shot
107-105
Paolo Banchero misses three point pullup jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Klay Thompson personal foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
105-105
+2
Desmond Bane makes two point driving layup (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)
102-105
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
Jalen Suggs defensive rebound
Magic 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford)
Desmond Bane shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-103
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg blocks Paolo Banchero's two point running finger roll layup
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving finger roll layup
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Desmond Bane misses two point pullup jump shot
Klay Thompson personal foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)
Desmond Bane personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-103
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-103
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Jalen Suggs misses three point jump shot
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point pullup jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Paolo Banchero misses three point pullup jump shot
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point turnaround hook shot
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Magic misses two point jump shot
Jalen Suggs misses three point jump shot
Goga Bitadze shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-103
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
Magic 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-103
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Jevon Carter misses three point jump shot
Noah Penda offensive rebound
Desmond Bane misses three point jump shot
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
97-103
+3
Paolo Banchero makes three point pullup jump shot (Goga Bitadze assists)
94-103
Goga Bitadze defensive rebound
Noah Penda personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
Khris Middleton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-100
Goga Bitadze personal foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton)
Max Christie defensive rebound
Noah Penda misses three point jump shot
Paolo Banchero offensive rebound
Noah Penda misses three point jump shot
Goga Bitadze offensive rebound
Paolo Banchero misses three point jump shot
Jevon Carter shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point stepback jump shot (Max Christie assists)
92-100
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 1
93-100
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
Magic lineup change (Noah Penda, Goga Bitadze, Desmond Bane, Jevon Carter, Paolo Banchero)
Tristan da Silva turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Magic lineup change (Goga Bitadze, Desmond Bane, Anthony Black, Jevon Carter, Paolo Banchero)
Magic lineup change (Noah Penda, Goga Bitadze, Desmond Bane, Jevon Carter, Paolo Banchero)
Khris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Tristan da Silva steals)
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses three point pullup jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point running jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Jevon Carter misses three point jump shot
Desmond Bane offensive rebound
Dwight Powell blocks Desmond Bane's two point running layup
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Jevon Carter makes three point jump shot (Tristan da Silva assists)
90-100
Dwight Powell personal foul (Loose ball) (Goga Bitadze draws the foul)
Jevon Carter misses two point stepback jump shot
Magic offensive rebound
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
Cooper Flagg blocks Desmond Bane's two point driving hook shot
Magic offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
90-97
+2
Desmond Bane makes two point driving layup (Jevon Carter assists)
88-97
Max Christie offensive foul (Off the ball) (Noah Penda draws the foul)
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Max Christie turnover (offensive foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Klay Thompson)
Goga Bitadze personal foul (Loose ball) (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Klay Thompson)
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
+2
Goga Bitadze makes two point layup (Jevon Carter assists)
88-95
Tristan da Silva defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point pullup jump shot
Noah Penda personal foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
+2
Goga Bitadze makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tristan da Silva assists)
88-93
Jevon Carter defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Noah Penda misses two point turnaround hook shot
Naji Marshall misses two point pullup jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford)
Start of 4th Quarter
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
Magic lineup change (Noah Penda, Goga Bitadze, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane, Jevon Carter)
Noah Penda turnover (traveling)
Desmond Bane shooting foul (Klay Thompson draws the foul)
+1
Klay Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 3
87-91
+1
Klay Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 3
86-91
+1
Klay Thompson makes regular free throw 3 of 3
88-91
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford)
+3
Tristan da Silva makes three point stepback jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)
85-91
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point tip layup
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point tip layup
85-88
Naji Marshall misses two point running layup
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford blocks Moritz Wagner's two point cutting layup
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point stepback jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
83-88
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Moritz Wagner misses three point jump shot
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Daniel Gafford assists)
80-88
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point stepback jump shot
+2
Jevon Carter makes two point driving layup
77-88
Naji Marshall turnover (offensive foul)
Naji Marshall offensive foul (Charge) (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)
Magic lineup change (Noah Penda, Moritz Wagner, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane, Jevon Carter)
Klay Thompson shooting foul (Anthony Black draws the foul)
+1
Anthony Black makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-85
+1
Anthony Black makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-86
Magic lineup change (Noah Penda, Moritz Wagner, Tristan da Silva, Anthony Black, Jevon Carter)
Anthony Black defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford misses two point driving dunk
Jevon Carter personal foul (Ryan Nembhard draws the foul)
Paolo Banchero offensive rebound
+2
Paolo Banchero makes two point putback layup
77-84
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Magic lineup change (Moritz Wagner, Tristan da Silva, Anthony Black, Jevon Carter, Paolo Banchero)
Daniel Gafford blocks Paolo Banchero's two point driving layup
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point turnaround jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Jevon Carter misses three point jump shot
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point cutting layup (Naji Marshall assists)
77-82
Ryan Nembhard shooting foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford)
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Moritz Wagner, Anthony Black, Jevon Carter, Paolo Banchero)
+3
Jalen Suggs makes three point pullup jump shot
75-81
+1
Jalen Suggs makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-82
Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Wendell Carter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)
75-78
Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses two point turnaround bank jump shot
Paolo Banchero turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Washington steals)
Jevon Carter defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
+2
Anthony Black makes two point cutting dunk (Paolo Banchero assists)
75-75
+3
P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
75-73
Jalen Suggs turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Anthony Black, Jevon Carter, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Khris Middleton)
Desmond Bane offensive rebound
Jalen Suggs misses three point running jump shot
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Jalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)
72-73
Naji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Paolo Banchero steals)
Paolo Banchero turnover (bad pass) (Naji Marshall steals)
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point floating jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
72-70
Dwight Powell shooting foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Wendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-69
+1
Wendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-70
Khris Middleton technical foul
Khris Middleton turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+1
Desmond Bane makes technical free throw 1 of 1
70-68
Khris Middleton personal foul (Loose ball) (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)
Khris Middleton turnover
+2
Jalen Suggs makes two point layup
70-67
Magic defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
Desmond Bane turnover (traveling)
Mavericks technical foul (Defensive three second)
Magic personal foul
+1
Desmond Bane makes technical free throw 1 of 1
70-65
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving dunk
70-64
Mavericks turnover
Paolo Banchero turnover (bad pass) (Cooper Flagg steals)
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
+2
Paolo Banchero makes two point running layup (Jalen Suggs assists)
68-64
Khris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Suggs steals)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Paolo Banchero misses two point driving layup
Stoppage (Other)
+3
Cooper Flagg makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
68-62
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg blocks Anthony Black's two point running finger roll layup
Cooper Flagg turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Black steals)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Jalen Suggs misses three point running pullup jump shot
Cooper Flagg turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Suggs steals)
+2
Anthony Black makes two point driving reverse layup (Jalen Suggs assists)
65-62
Daniel Gafford personal foul (Anthony Black draws the foul)
Desmond Bane personal foul
Desmond Bane shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 3
63-60
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 3
64-60
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 3 of 3
65-60
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Desmond Bane misses three point stepback jump shot
Jump ball. Wendell Carter Jr. vs. Daniel Gafford (Jalen Suggs gains possession)
Daniel Gafford turnover (lost ball)
Magic personal foul
Magic 60 second timeout
Magic challenge timeout
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Wendell Carter Jr. blocks Cooper Flagg's two point driving layup
Magic defensive rebound
Magic 60 second timeout
Anthony Black misses three point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Jalen Suggs misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball)
Jump ball. Paolo Banchero vs. P.J. Washington (Anthony Black gains possession)
Magic defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses two point driving floating jump shot
Magic misses heave shot
Magic offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Desmond Bane, Anthony Black, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
Start of 3rd Quarter
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Goga Bitadze personal foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Daniel Gafford)
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane, Jevon Carter, Paolo Banchero)
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Goga Bitadze makes two point alley-oop dunk (Desmond Bane assists)
62-60
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses three point pullup jump shot
Anthony Black personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Noah Penda, Goga Bitadze, Desmond Bane, Paolo Banchero)
+2
Jalen Suggs makes two point cutting layup (Anthony Black assists)
62-58
Daniel Gafford defensive goaltending violation
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving bank hook shot
62-56
+2
Paolo Banchero makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
60-56
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
60-54
Max Christie defensive rebound
Anthony Black misses three point running pullup jump shot
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Desmond Bane makes two point turnaround jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)
58-53
Khris Middleton shooting foul (Desmond Bane draws the foul)
+1
Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 1 of 1
58-54
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Magic defensive rebound
Jalen Suggs blocks Khris Middleton's two point driving floating jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Goga Bitadze offensive rebound
+2
Goga Bitadze makes two point putback layup
58-51
Cooper Flagg shooting foul (Goga Bitadze draws the foul)
Goga Bitadze misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
Desmond Bane misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point alley-oop dunk (Cooper Flagg assists)
58-49
+3
Desmond Bane makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)
56-49
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving layup (Khris Middleton assists)
56-46
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Desmond Bane misses two point driving floating jump shot
Magic 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point running layup
54-46
Jalen Suggs turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Washington steals)
Goga Bitadze defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Paolo Banchero misses three point stepback jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Goga Bitadze, Desmond Bane, Anthony Black, Paolo Banchero)
Anthony Black offensive rebound
Anthony Black misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
52-46
+3
Jalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Goga Bitadze assists)
49-46
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point running layup
49-43
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Jalen Suggs misses three point jump shot
Wendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton)
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Noah Penda, Goga Bitadze, Anthony Black, Paolo Banchero)
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-43
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Noah Penda, Goga Bitadze, Anthony Black, Jevon Carter)
+2
Paolo Banchero makes two point running layup (Jalen Suggs assists)
46-43
Jalen Suggs defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
+2
Wendell Carter Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jalen Suggs assists)
46-41
Jalen Suggs shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
P.J. Washington technical foul
+1
Tristan da Silva makes technical free throw 1 of 1
44-39
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-39
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-39
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Paolo Banchero misses two point turnaround hook shot
Naji Marshall personal foul (Tristan da Silva draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
Khris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Paolo Banchero steals)
+3
Tristan da Silva makes three point jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)
44-38
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
44-35
+2
Noah Penda makes two point running layup
42-35
Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Noah Penda makes two point running dunk (Tristan da Silva assists)
42-33
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Noah Penda, Tristan da Silva, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
Daniel Gafford turnover (lost ball) (Tristan da Silva steals)
+3
Tristan da Silva makes three point running pullup jump shot
42-31
Noah Penda defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Noah Penda misses three point jump shot
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point dunk (Naji Marshall assists)
42-28
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Moritz Wagner misses two point driving layup
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving hook shot
40-28
+2
Tristan da Silva makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Moritz Wagner assists)
38-28
Desmond Bane shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-26
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-26
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Noah Penda, Moritz Wagner, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane)
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Moritz Wagner misses two point driving layup
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Max Christie assists)
36-26
Jevon Carter turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point fadeaway jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford)
Start of 2nd Quarter
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point stepback jump shot
33-26
Tristan da Silva offensive rebound
+2
Tristan da Silva makes two point putback layup
31-26
Moritz Wagner misses two point turnaround hook shot
Noah Penda offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Noah Penda misses two point driving reverse layup
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)
31-24
+2
Moritz Wagner makes two point driving layup (Jevon Carter assists)
29-24
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
29-22
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Moritz Wagner misses two point driving floating jump shot
Moritz Wagner defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Moritz Wagner makes two point driving layup (Jevon Carter assists)
26-22
Tristan da Silva defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
+3
Jevon Carter makes three point jump shot (Moritz Wagner assists)
26-20
Noah Penda defensive rebound
Anthony Black shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-17
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson)
Magic lineup change (Noah Penda, Moritz Wagner, Tristan da Silva, Desmond Bane, Jevon Carter)
Caleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Magic makes two point jump shot
25-19
Paolo Banchero turnover (lost ball) (Naji Marshall steals)
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point running finger roll layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
25-17
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Jevon Carter misses three point running jump shot
Klay Thompson turnover (bad pass) (Tristan da Silva steals)
Paolo Banchero turnover (lost ball) (Klay Thompson steals)
Moritz Wagner defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)
+1
Moritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-16
+1
Moritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-17
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point running jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
23-15
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Anthony Black misses two point driving layup
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point running layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
20-15
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Jevon Carter misses three point jump shot
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
+2
Wendell Carter Jr. makes two point driving layup
18-15
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Magic lineup change (Moritz Wagner, Tristan da Silva, Anthony Black, Jevon Carter, Paolo Banchero)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson)
Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
+2
Paolo Banchero makes two point putback layup
18-13
Paolo Banchero offensive rebound
Paolo Banchero misses two point driving finger roll layup
Dwight Powell blocks Jalen Suggs's two point driving layup
Magic offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Klay Thompson)
Magic lineup change (Tristan da Silva, Anthony Black, Jevon Carter, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
+3
P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
18-11
+2
Wendell Carter Jr. makes two point tip dunk
15-11
Wendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound
Anthony Black misses two point running layup
Desmond Bane defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
P.J. Washington blocks Desmond Bane's two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
+3
Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
15-9
+2
Paolo Banchero makes two point pullup jump shot (Anthony Black assists)
12-9
Wendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-7
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-7
+2
Anthony Black makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Paolo Banchero assists)
10-7
Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Magic turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Anthony Black misses two point cutting finger roll layup
Khris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Wendell Carter Jr. steals)
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Anthony Black personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Khris Middleton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Daniel Gafford shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)
Paolo Banchero misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Magic offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Max Christie, Khris Middleton)
+1
Paolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-5
Anthony Black offensive rebound
Jalen Suggs misses three point jump shot
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point alley-oop dunk (Max Christie assists)
10-4
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Anthony Black misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point putback layup
8-4
Magic 60 second timeout
Khris Middleton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Wendell Carter Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
Daniel Gafford shooting foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Wendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-3
+1
Wendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
6-4
+3
Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
6-2
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Desmond Bane makes two point running layup (Anthony Black assists)
3-2
Khris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Black steals)
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Anthony Black misses two point driving layup
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point pullup jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
3-0
Paolo Banchero turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Magic lineup change (Jalen Suggs, Desmond Bane, Anthony Black, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero)
Daniel Gafford vs. Wendell Carter Jr. (Paolo Banchero gains possession)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford)
Start of 1st Quarter
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Mavericks vs. Magic: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Magic
- Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kia Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Magic favored at -8
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +278, Magic -320
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 28%
- Magic: 72%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 112-119 Magic.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 28%, while the Magic have a win probability of 72%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Magic are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Kia Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Magic predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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