It's the last day of the regular season and the past week has been fraught with danger for NBA player props bettors. Half of our picks throughout the week have been late scratches which has led to frustration on our end, but on this final day we think we've found some diamonds in the rough to help you cash one last time before the playoffs begin.
So how do our player prop picks work exactly?
Well, our predictive analytics model has crunched the numbers ahead of tonight's games, giving us the likely stats projections which we've matched up against the sportsbook lines to find the biggest differential and edge for you to make a play on. While this article contains the best edges that we've found against the books, you can run this exercise yourself by looking in the Pre-Game Predictions tab of the game of your choice in the NBA Bet Hub.
With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top NBA player prop picks for tonight's games.
Your favorite player not here? Find player projections for every game tonight via our NBA Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
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It's Sunday, May 16. Here is what the data is telling us for tonight's NBA player props ⏬
PLAYER: Russell Westbrook
BET: 🔥 UNDER 15.5 assists (-122)
Yes - the assist line for Russell Westbrook really is 15.5 😮
Our data projections have Russ down for 15 dimes, but in a game the means very little for the Wiz (they've already locked up a spot in the play-in tournament and Bradley Beal may not be risked to play), we may see a relatively easy night for the point guard. It's hard to see Scott Brooks pushing anyone too hard in this one. The Under looks like a good play.
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PLAYER: Steph Curry
BET: 🔥 OVER 35.5 points with FanDuel Sportsbook (-124)
With the scoring title in Curry's clutches, he'll be wanting one more big performance to stamp his name on the crown which would be the second of his career. Our projections have him nudging 40, going well over the 35.5-point line set by the 'books.
PLAYER: Luka Doncic
BET: 🔥 UNDER 27.5 points with William Hill Sportsbook (-114)
Fading the big names might be the play today with so many factors playing against some of the big boys. Aside from that anyway, Luka Doncic just hasn't been scoring that many points. He's had 24 points or less in six of his past seven games. He's still effective on the court, just in other aspects. Our projections have him scoring 26, but it could be much less if Carlisle elects to rest his star man.
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🔥 Westbrook u15.5 assists
🔥 Curry o35.5 points
🔥 Doncic u27.5 points
💰 Parlay with FanDuel Sportsbook (+517)