May 21, 2026
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Read Article Valkyries vs. Liberty prediction: New York favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [5/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Golden State Valkyries vs New York Liberty predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The New York Liberty and Golden State Valkyries will meet in the WNBA at Barclays Center on Thursday, with tipoff at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Valkyries vs. Liberty game.
The Liberty, who have star players like Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Satou Sabally, are set to take on the Valkyries, who feature Veronica Burton, Gabby Williams and Kayla Thornton.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Valkyries vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Valkyries and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Liberty a 72% chance of defeating the Valkyries.
According to our model, the Valkyries (+7.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 170.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.
Valkyries vs. Liberty odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Valkyries | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-110) | -7.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +250 | -300 |
| Total | o170.5 (-112) | u170.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Valkyries vs. Liberty picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Valkyries +7.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Valkyries | +250 |
| Total | Under 170.5 | -108 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 170.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Valkyries vs. Liberty player props
Betting on Valkyries vs. Liberty WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
Veronica Burton is expected to lead the Valkyries with 12 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 17 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists for the Liberty.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Valkyries prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Burton | 12 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 33 |
| Gabby Williams | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 30 |
| Kayla Thornton | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 |
| Janelle Salaun | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 |
| Tiffany Hayes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
Liberty prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 17 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 39 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 13 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 29 |
| Satou Sabally | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 27 |
| Jonquel Jones | 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Pauline Astier | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
Valkyries vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Liberty and Valkyries at Barclays Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty
- Date: Thursday, May 21, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Valkyries in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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