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Dimers Partners with OG: Trade on Probabilities, Not Just Predictions

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Reviewed by Nick Slade

Dimers.com has teamed up with OG, a CFTC-regulated prediction market platform, to bring a new way for data-driven sports fans to act on Dimers predictions.

Dimers partners with OG Prediction Market
Learn about OG, our new prediction market partner!

Paid partnership with Crypto.com | OG

Dimers Partners with OG: Trade on Probabilities, Not Just Predictions

Dimers has always been about giving you an edge through data. Our model probabilities, Best Bets, and game analysis tools exist for one reason: to help you make smarter, more informed decisions. Today, we’re announcing a partnership that takes that idea one step further.

We’re teaming up with OG - a prediction market platform powered by Crypto.com and operated by Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), a CFTC-regulated exchange, and that last part matters.

OG isn’t a sportsbook. It’s a federally regulated financial exchange - the same regulatory framework that governs futures markets - available to eligible users across most of the United States. See og.com for state-by-state availability.

What is OG?

OG lets you trade on the outcome of real-world events such as sports, politics, economics, entertainment, and more, by buying and selling event contracts. The price of each contract directly reflects the market’s implied probability that the underlying event will occur.

If you think a team has a 65% chance of winning and you can buy a contract priced at 55%, you’re getting what traders would call value. 

Note: identifying value does not guarantee a winning trade or profit. The event outcome is always uncertain.

And critically important for Dimers users: OG displays everything in probabilities, not traditional odds. There’s no conversion, no mental math. It’s the same language Dimers has always spoken.


OG is also built differently from traditional sportsbooks in a few key ways:

  • No user limiting: sharp traders and high-volume users will not be restricted or banned for winning. You trade against the market, not the house.

  • Available in most US states: with the exception of New York and Arizona, and sports trading restrictions in select additional states. Visit og.com for full details.

  • Transparent pricing: your potential profit, maximum loss, and settlement rules are stated upfront on every trade ticket.

  • Parlays and player prop markets: available alongside standard moneyline, spread, and total markets.

How Dimers data works with OG

Over the coming months, Dimers will be integrating prediction market data directly into our platform. But even right now, there’s a straightforward workflow that any Dimers user can run.

Here’s the core idea: Dimers gives you a win probability, OG gives you a market price, and the gap between the two is where the conversation gets interesting.

Here are a few practical examples of how that plays out:

Moneyline value spotting: Say Dimers’ model has a college basketball team at 62% to win. You pull up that same game on OG and the market has them trading at 52%. That 10-point gap suggests the market may be undervaluing that team relative to what Dimers’ data implies. You can open a trade on OG’s moneyline market directly.

Tournament futures: OG carries futures markets on major tournament outcomes, including college basketball champion odds for every remaining team. Cross-referencing those market prices against Dimers’ model projections lets you identify teams the market is pricing below their modelled probability — useful for futures traders looking for longer-term positions.

The market for this year's Pro Baseball champion on OG - probabilities subject to change.

Spread and total markets: OG’s spread and total markets show probabilities rather than traditional lines. A Dimers user who trusts the model’s total points projection can quickly see whether OG’s over/under market price aligns or diverges, and trade the outcome accordingly.

Player props: OG offers player prop markets across points, rebounds, assists, and more. Dimers’ player-level data and projections give you a research layer that most casual traders won’t have.

In each case, you’re not following a tip or acting on a gut feeling. Instead, you’re comparing two data points - a model output and a market price - and making a decision based on that analysis. That’s the informed trading approach OG is built for. Trading always involves risk of loss. No strategy, however data-driven, guarantees a profit.

New user offer

To get started, OG is offering a welcome bonus for both new and existing users: Trade to get up to $150 in Bonuses!  ðŸ‘‰ Claim the offer here

We may earn a commission when you sign up through our link. Terms apply. Trading involves risk of loss. Your initial $20 trade is at risk of market outcome. Bonus credits are promotional and cannot be withdrawn as cash. Full terms at og.com.

What’s coming next

This partnership is the beginning of a bigger integration. Prediction market data will be coming to Dimers over the coming months. Our goal is to surface OG market prices alongside our own model probabilities, so you can see the comparison in one place without switching between platforms. We’ll share more on that as it develops.

In the meantime, check out our full explainer video below for a step-by-step walkthrough of how OG works and how to use it alongside your Dimers data.

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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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