Best bets today for all sports: Thursday's picks include Liberty vs. Aces WNBA play [7/30/2026]

WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Under 182.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 14.9%
• Probability: 67.3%
• WNBA matchup: Liberty vs. Aces (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Under 182.5 points in Liberty vs. Aces at -110 odds. A 67.3% probability produces an edge of 14.9%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

MLB: Mariners vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 55.8%
• MLB matchup: Mariners vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Mariners vs. Dodgers over 8.5 runs carries a 4.9% edge and a probability of 55.8% at -104 odds, according to our model.

MLB: Giants vs. Padres Over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 51.5%
• MLB Matchup: Giants vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Giants vs. Padres Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds shows a 4.6% edge, supported by a 51.5% probability in simulations.

Tennis: Dalibor Svrcina +3.5 (-118)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Tennis Matchup: Denis Shapovalov vs. Dalibor Svrcina (10:10PM ET)

A 4.5% edge and 58.6% probability makes Dalibor Svrcina +3.5 vs. Denis Shapovalov a value play in the Denis Shapovalov vs. Dalibor Svrcina matchup, per our model.

MLB: Athletics ML (+170)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 41.3%
• MLB Matchup: Red Sox vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Athletics ML at +170 odds presents a 4.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 41.3%.

MLB: Athletics +1.5 (+111)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 51%
• MLB Matchup: Red Sox vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Athletics +1.5 at +111 odds, supported by an edge of 3.6%.

WNBA: Aces ML (-172)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 66.6%
• WNBA Matchup: Liberty vs. Aces (10:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Liberty-Aces to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at -172 odds. A 66.6% probability produces a 3.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

Tennis: Dalibor Svrcina vs. Denis Shapovalov Over 21.5 total games (-120)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Tennis Matchup: Denis Shapovalov vs. Dalibor Svrcina (10:10PM ET)

A 3.1% edge on a 57.7% probability makes Over 21.5 total games at -120 odds a solid value play in this ATP Los Cabos Open matchup.

MLB: Red Sox vs. AthleticsOver 9.5 runs (-117)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 56.9%
• MLB Matchup: Red Sox vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 9.5 runs at -117 odds. A 56.9% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's MLB matchup.

MLB: Giants +1.5 (-133)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 59.3%
• MLB Matchup: Giants vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Giants +1.5 at -133 odds shows a 59.3% probability and a 2.2% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Thursday, 7/30/2026

As of 8:49PM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming matchups to bet on now [7/30/2026]

• Tennis: Arthur Gea vs. Francisco Cerundolo (9:00PM ET, Thursday)
• MLB: Giants vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Thursday)
• MLB: Red Sox vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Thursday)
• WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Jenson Brooksby vs. Coleman Wong (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• MLB: Mariners vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Dalibor Svrcina vs. Denis Shapovalov (10:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Bernard Tomic vs. Cameron Norrie (12:00AM ET, Friday)
• NRL: Dolphins vs. Dragons (4:00AM ET, Friday)
• NRL: Bulldogs vs. Storm (6:00AM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for July 30, 2026, featuring plays such as under 182.5 points in the Liberty vs. Aces matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Mariners vs. Dodgers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.