May 20, 2026
Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [5/20/2026]
Read Article Orioles vs. Rays prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [5/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays predictions for MLB Wednesday.
MLB action continues on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET as the Baltimore Orioles take on the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field.
Steven Matz (4-1, 3.86 ERA) will be on the bump for the Rays, while the Orioles will counter with Shane Baz (1-5, 5.26 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Rays a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Orioles.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's Orioles vs. Rays matchup, including best bets and picks.
Orioles vs. Rays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB game between the Orioles and Rays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Rays a 52% chance of defeating the Orioles.
According to our model, the Orioles (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 53% chance of going over.
Orioles vs. Rays odds [5/20/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Orioles | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-220) | -1.5 (+165) |
| Moneyline | -102 | -112 |
| Total | o8.5 (-105) | u8.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Orioles vs. Rays picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Rays -1.5 | +165 |
| Moneyline | Rays | -112 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Orioles vs. Rays game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Rays and Orioles at Tropicana Field is scheduled to start at 1:10 PM ET.
- Who: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Wednesday, May 20, 2026
- Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
- Venue: Tropicana Field
Conclusion
We predict the Rays, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Orioles in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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