The Chicago Bears will get a much-needed boost in Week 3 with running back D’Andre Swift expected to play through a quad injury when they host the Dallas Cowboys at Soldier Field. Swift had been limited in practice all week, but his availability provides a spark for an offense that has struggled out of the gate in 2025. Still searching for their first win of the season after losses to the Vikings and Lions, the Bears face a daunting challenge against a Cowboys team looking to cement itself as an NFC contender.
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Chicago’s injury woes extend beyond Swift, with star cornerback Jaylon Johnson landing on injured reserve due to a groin injury that could sideline him indefinitely. His absence leaves a hole in the secondary just as the Bears prepare to face Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, and a Dallas offense projected to move the ball effectively. Oddsmakers have set the line with Dallas as a slight road favorite at -1.5, reflecting both the Cowboys’ upside and Chicago’s inconsistencies on both sides of the ball.
Dimers' data-driven model
gives the Cowboys a 59% chance of victory after simulating the matchup 10,000 times, projecting a narrow 25-23 win for Dallas. The total sits at 50.5 points, with the under favored at a 55% probability, pointing to a competitive but lower-scoring battle than the line suggests. With Swift’s return, Caleb Williams leading the Bears under center, and Prescott looking to keep Dallas on track, Sunday’s game sets up as one of the week’s most intriguing contests.
Game Details:
Key information on the Cowboys vs. Bears matchup, including where the game is and what time it kicks off.
- Teams: vs.
- Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: Soldier Field
- NFL standings:
- NFL injuries:
Odds
The latest and best odds for the NFL matchup between the Cowboys and Bears.
- Spread: Cowboys -1.5 (-105), Bears +1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Cowboys -120, Bears +106
- Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-105/-112)
The odds and lines presented in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Expert Prediction: Cowboys Vs. Bears
Utilizing trusted data analysis and computer power, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's
Cowboys vs. Bears
matchup.
According to Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, the
Cowboys are more likely to defeat the Bears
at Soldier Field. This prediction is based on the model giving the Cowboys a 59% chance of winning the game.
Elsewhere on the betting board, Dimers predicts that the Cowboys (-1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 50.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.
These predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.
Cowboys Vs. Bears Best Bet
Our top pick for the Cowboys vs. Bears Week 3 NFL game is to bet on the
Cowboys moneyline (-120).
This expert betting advice is based on world-class simulations and valuable wagering intelligence, designed to bring you the best possible plays.
Score Prediction for Cowboys Vs. Bears
Dimers' projected final score for the Dallas vs. Chicago game on Sunday has the Cowboys winning 25-23.
This expert prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.
NFL Player Props: Sunday
NFL player prop picks are an exciting way to wager on Sunday's game without necessarily betting on its outcome.
This article features the most likely first and anytime touchdown scorers for the Cowboys and Bears, along with projected player stats.
Dallas Cowboys
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Javonte Williams: 11.5% probability
- CeeDee Lamb: 10.0% probability
- George Pickens: 6.8% probability
Anytime Touchdown Predictions
- Javonte Williams: 48.6% probability
- CeeDee Lamb: 44.2% probability
- George Pickens: 32.7% probability
Projected Box Score Leaders
- QB passing yards: Dak Prescott, 270 yards
- Receiving yards: CeeDee Lamb, 86 yards
- Rushing yards: Javonte Williams, 67 yards
Chicago Bears
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- D'Andre Swift: 8.2% probability
- Rome Odunze: 7.4% probability
- Kyle Monangai: 6.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Predictions
- D'Andre Swift: 39.5% probability
- Rome Odunze: 36.2% probability
- Kyle Monangai: 32.7% probability
Projected Box Score Leaders
- QB passing yards: Caleb Williams, 239 yards
- Receiving yards: Rome Odunze, 67 yards
- Rushing yards: D'Andre Swift, 56 yards
NFL Week 3: Cowboys Vs. Bears
Get ready for Sunday's matchup between the Cowboys and Bears in Week 3 of the
season at Soldier Field, which is scheduled to start at 4:25 p.m. ET. We emphasize that all of the NFL predictions and NFL best bets in this article are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Cowboys vs. Bears matchup, and they are correct at the time of publishing. They are intended to assist you make better decisions when placing bets at online
.
It is important to gamble responsibly and consult reliable sources for accurate and up-to-date information when making online betting decisions.
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