Houston vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. St Louis City at the MLS on June 3, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Houston
0
3
Jun 4, 12:30AM CITYPARK (St. Louis, Missouri)
St Louis City
Jun 4, 12:30AM CITYPARK (St. Louis, Missouri)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
E. Lowen (pen.) (9')
Soccer ball icon
T. Ostrak (51')
Soccer ball icon
N. Gioacchini (pen.) (83')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
STL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
HOU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
R. Alm (St. Louis City) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Yaro replaces J. Nerwinski
89'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Nelson replaces N. Gioacchini
89'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: I. Jensen replaces C. Pompeu
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Raines replaces A. Carrasquilla
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by N. Gioacchini (pen.)
0-3
78'
Yellow Card
E. Bartlow (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
69'
Yellow Card
A. Jackson (St. Louis City) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Escobar replaces C. Gasper
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Ulfarsson replaces A. Ibrahim
65'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Jackson replaces I. Vassilev
65'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: R. Alm replaces T. Ostrak
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Micael replaces E. Sviatchenko
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces Artur
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by T. Ostrak
0-2
45'
Yellow Card
L. A. Caicedo M. (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
A. Carrasquilla (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
N. Blom (St. Louis City) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
I. Franco (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
9'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by E. Lowen (pen.)
0-1

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Houston vs. St Louis City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Houston vs. St Louis City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Saturday, June 3, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +300, St Louis City -105, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+100)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Houston: 19.5%
  • St Louis City: 57.4%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 0-1 St Louis City, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.5% probability, while St Louis City sits at 57.4%, with the draw at 23.0%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Houston vs. St Louis City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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