Montreal vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Montreal vs. D.C. United MLS match on May 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Montreal
4
:
4
Audi Field
D.C. United
Audi Field
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
L. Munteanu (9')
Soccer ball icon
J. Stroud (28')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baribo (pen.) (51')
Soccer ball icon
L. Bartlett (87')
Soccer ball icon
P. Owusu (45')
Soccer ball icon
P. Owusu (61')
Soccer ball icon
P. Owusu (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
G. Synchuk (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D.C. United
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Montreal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by P. Owusu (pen.)
    3-4
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by G. Synchuk, assisted by P. Owusu
    4-4
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    V. Loturi (CF Montreal) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: H. Kijima replaces L. Munteanu
  5. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Bartlett (DC United) cautioned
  6. 90'
    Yellow Card
    P. Owusu (CF Montreal) cautioned
  7. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Longstaff (CF Montreal) cautioned
  8. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by L. Bartlett, assisted by K. Kurokawa
    2-4
  9. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: C. Antley replaces S. Hefti
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: N. Markovic replaces T. Baribo
  11. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Hopkins replaces J. Stroud
  12. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: G. Synchuk replaces N. Streit
  13. 62'
    Yellow Card
    B. Servania (DC United) cautioned
  14. 62'
    Yellow Card
    D. Rios (CF Montreal) cautioned
  15. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by P. Owusu
    2-3
  16. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo (pen.)
    1-3
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces O. Escobar
  18. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Thorhallsson replaces D. Bugaj
  19. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by P. Owusu
    1-2
  20. 31'
    Yellow Card
    O. Escobar (CF Montreal) cautioned
  21. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by J. Stroud
    0-2
  22. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by L. Munteanu
    0-1

Montreal vs. D.C. United: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal +280, D.C. United -103, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Montreal: 27.7%
  • D.C. United: 47.7%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Montreal 1-1 D.C. United (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Montreal vs. D.C. United? Prediction & correct score

D.C. United is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.7%.

The most likely correct score is Montreal 1-1 D.C. United.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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