Seattle Sounders vs. Los Angeles FC prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [11/7/2026]

Seattle will square off with LAFC in the MLS Cup first round at Lumen Field on Saturday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Seattle as the most likely winner in this Seattle vs. LAFC prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Seattle Sounders vs. Los Angeles FC prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between Seattle and LAFC, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 47.0% chance of Seattle winning, a 28.4% chance for LAFC, and a 24.6% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53.6% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: LAFC +270, Seattle +106
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+150)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: LAFC @ +270 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +150 via DraftKings

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Seattle 1-1 LAFC (11.6% probability)
• Seattle 1-0 LAFC (9.6%)
• Seattle 2-1 LAFC (9.4%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS matchup between Seattle and LAFC in MLS at Lumen Field is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Sounders vs. Los Angeles FC
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Lumen Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Seattle has a 47.0% win probability on Saturday, LAFC has a 28.4% win probability, and there is a 24.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.