NY Red Bulls vs. Atlanta United prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [11/7/2026]

NY Red Bulls and Atlanta are scheduled to meet in the MLS Cup first round at Sports Illustrated Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 4:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects NY Red Bulls as the most likely winner in this NY Red Bulls vs. Atlanta prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

NY Red Bulls vs. Atlanta United prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between NY Red Bulls and Atlanta, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 53.5% chance of NY Red Bulls winning, a 25.7% chance for Atlanta, and a 20.8% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 69.6% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Atlanta +270, NY Red Bulls -108
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-300/+285)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: NY Red Bulls @ -108 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +285 via FanDuel

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 NY Red Bulls win being the most probable:

• NY Red Bulls 2-1 Atlanta (9.2% probability)
• NY Red Bulls 1-1 Atlanta (8.5%)
• NY Red Bulls 3-1 Atlanta (6.6%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS action between NY Red Bulls and Atlanta in MLS at Sports Illustrated Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: NY Red Bulls vs. Atlanta United
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00 PM PT
• Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, NY Red Bulls have a 53.5% win probability on Saturday, Atlanta has a 25.7% win probability, and there is a 20.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.