Orlando vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Orlando vs. Cincinnati MLS match on May 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Orlando
2
6
TQL Stadium
Cincinnati
TQL Stadium
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
K. Mboma (42')
Soccer ball icon
Evander (45')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mboma (52')
Soccer ball icon
Evander (58')
Soccer ball icon
K. Denkey (77')
Soccer ball icon
T. Barlow (90')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ojeda (pen.) (16')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ojeda (48')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cincinnati
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Orlando
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by T. Barlow, assisted by E. Echenique
    2-6
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: N. Hagglund replaces S. Gidi
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces K. Denkey
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: Luis Otavio replaces B. Ojeda
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: E. Echenique replaces G. Valenzuela
  6. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Barlow replaces K. Mboma
  7. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey, assisted by Evander
    2-5
  8. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Anunga replaces O. Nwobodo
  9. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: D. McGuire replaces A. Gomez
  10. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: W. Cartagena replaces G. Dorsey
  11. 70'
    Yellow Card
    D. Brekalo (Orlando City) cautioned
  12. 58'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander
    2-4
  13. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: M. Pasalic replaces J. Ellis
  14. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Mboma, assisted by Evander
    2-3
  15. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda
    2-2
  16. 47'
    Yellow Card
    M. Miazga (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: T. Spicer replaces Tiago
  18. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander, assisted by P. Bucha
    1-2
  19. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Mboma, assisted by Evander
    1-1
  20. 40'
    Yellow Card
    Tiago (Orlando City) cautioned
  21. 32'
    Yellow Card
    G. Valenzuela (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  22. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda (pen.)
    1-0
  23. 10'
    Yellow Card
    A. Gomez (Orlando City) cautioned

Orlando vs. Cincinnati: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando +320, Cincinnati -138, draw +375
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-350/+260)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Orlando: 23.5%
  • Cincinnati: 58.2%
  • Draw: 18.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Orlando 1-2 Cincinnati (7.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Orlando vs. Cincinnati? Prediction & correct score

Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.2%.

The most likely correct score is Orlando 1-2 Cincinnati.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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