New England Revolution vs. Chicago Fire prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/17/2026]

New England will square off with Chicago in MLS action at Gillette Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects New England as the most likely winner in this New England vs. Chicago prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

New England Revolution vs. Chicago Fire prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between New England and Chicago, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 41.2% chance of New England winning, a 35.5% chance for Chicago, and a 23.3% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 62.4% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Chicago +170, New England +170
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-194/+186)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: New England @ +170 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +186 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is New England to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• New England 1-1 Chicago (10.3% probability)
• New England 2-1 Chicago (8.7%)
• New England 1-2 Chicago (8%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS action between New England and Chicago in MLS at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: New England Revolution vs. Chicago Fire
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, New England has a 41.2% win probability on Saturday, Chicago has a 35.5% win probability, and there is a 23.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.