Austin vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Austin vs. St Louis City MLS match on May 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Austin
0
3
CITYPARK
St Louis City
CITYPARK
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
AustinAUS
Guilherme Biro (o.g.) (40')
Soccer ball icon
F. Fall (56')
Soccer ball icon
D. Edelman (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Austin
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by D. Edelman, assisted by C. Teuchert
    0-3
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces S. Becher
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Teuchert replaces E. Lowen
  4. 84'
    Yellow Card
    C. Durkin (St. Louis City) cautioned
  5. 80'
    Yellow Card
    N. Dubersarsky (Austin FC) cautioned
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: C. Fodrey replaces O. Wolff
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: N. Dubersarsky replaces D. Pereira
  8. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: Z. Kolmanic replaces J. Bell
  9. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: B. Vazquez replaces C. Ramirez
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: J. Nelson replaces M. Desler
  11. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by F. Fall
    0-2
  12. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by Guilherme Biro (o.g.)
    0-1
  13. 23'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton replaces D. Polvara

Austin vs. St Louis City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Austin vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
  • Time: 2:45 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Austin +375, St Louis City -133, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-167/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Austin: 21.5%
  • St Louis City: 56.2%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Austin 1-1 St Louis City (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Austin vs. St Louis City? Prediction & correct score

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.2%.

The most likely correct score is Austin 1-1 St Louis City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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