Jul 6, 2026
World Cup bets today: Three round of 16 picks for Monday ft. Spain vs. Portugal [7/6/2026]
Read Article World Cup player props today: Monday's round of 16 props include Tyler Adams [7/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get World Cup player props today with projections for Monday's games.
Dimers' World Cup props are live for July 6, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Tyler Adams, Renato Veiga and Sergino Dest.
Our World Cup player props model runs continuously, analyzing every international soccer matchup, including Spain vs. Portugal and Belgium vs. United States, to surface the best World Cup player prop bets across the market.
List of World Cup prop bets for Monday, 7/6 [Round of 16]
Sourced from 25+ World Cup props on site today, these top 10 player props provide you with value opportunities for today's round of 16 action. Rather than predicting the result of today's matches, these picks strip away the noise to focus on individual milestones like anytime goalscorers and shots on target.
Tyler Adams over 1.5 shots (+625)
- Edge: 0.9%
- Probability: 14.7%
- Game: United States vs. Belgium (8:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on United States Tyler Adams over 1.5 shots. A probability of 14.7% gives this play an edge of 0.9% at +625 odds.
Renato Veiga over 1.5 shots (+950)
- Edge: 0.2%
- Probability: 9.7%
- Game: Portugal vs. Spain (3:00PM ET)
Renato Veiga’s shots prop shows a 9.7% probability and an 0.2% edge at +950 odds, according to our model.
Sergino Dest over 3.5 shots (+1400)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 9.4%
- Game: United States vs. Spain (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Sergino Dest over 3.5 shots, with simulations showing a 9.4% probability and a 2.7% edge at +1400.
Weston McKennie over 3.5 shots (+1200)
- Edge: 0.4%
- Probability: 8.1%
- Game: United States vs. Belgium (8:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Weston McKennie over 3.5 shots, with a 8.1% probability and an edge of 0.4% at +1200 odds.
Tim Ream over 1.5 shots (+1500)
- Edge: 1.6%
- Probability: 7.8%
- Game: United States vs. Belgium (8:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Tim Ream over 1.5 shots for United States, showing an edge of 1.6% at +1500 odds.
Alex Baena over 4.5 shots (+1600)
- Edge: 0.8%
- Probability: 6.7%
- Game: Portugal vs. Spain (3:00PM ET)
Alex Baena’s shots prop shows an edge of 0.8% at +1600 odds, supported by a 6.7% probability according to our model.
Joao Neves over 2.5 shots (+1800)
- Edge: 1.2%
- Probability: 6.4%
- Game: Portugal vs. Spain (3:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Joao Neves over 2.5 shots for Portugal, with a 6.4% probability and a 1.2% edge at +1800 odds.
Malik Tillman over 4.5 shots (+1600)
- Edge: 0.4%
- Probability: 6.3%
- Game: United States vs. Belgium (8:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Malik Tillman over 4.5 shots, supported by a 6.3% probability at +1600 odds and an edge of 0.4%.
Alex Freeman over 2.5 shots (+2000)
- Edge: 1.1%
- Probability: 5.9%
- Game: United States vs. Belgium (8:00PM ET)
A 1.1% edge on the Shots 4.5 shots line makes Alex Freeman a value play in , supported by a 5.9% probability at +2000 odds.
Christian Pulisic over 5.5 shots (+2000)
- Edge: 0.6%
- Probability: 5.4%
- Game: United States vs. Spain (8:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Christian Pulisic over 5.5 shots here, with a 5.4% probability and 0.6% edge at +2000 odds.
World Cup player prop summary: Monday, July 6, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:31AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Belgium | Tyler Adams over 1.5 shots | +625 @ BetMGM | 0.9% | 14.7% |
| Portugal vs. Spain | Renato Veiga over 1.5 shots | +950 @ DraftKings | 0.2% | 9.7% |
| United States vs. Belgium | Sergino Dest over 3.5 shots | +1400 @ DraftKings | 0.4% | 8.1% |
| United States vs. Belgium | Weston McKennie over 3.5 shots | +1200 @ DraftKings | 0.4% | 8.1% |
| United States vs. Belgium | Tim Ream over 1.5 shots | +1500 @ BetMGM | 1.6% | 7.8% |
| Portugal vs. Spain | Alex Baena over 4.5 shots | +1600 @ DraftKings | 0.8% | 6.7% |
| Portugal vs. Spain | Joao Neves over 2.5 shots | +1800 @ DraftKings | 1.2% | 6.4% |
| United States vs. Belgium | Malik Tillman over 4.5 shots | +1600 @ DraftKings | 0.4% | 6.3% |
| United States vs. Belgium | Alex Freeman over 2.5 shots | +2000 @ FanDuel | 1.1% | 5.9% |
| United States vs. Belgium | Christian Pulisic over 5.5 shots | +2000 @ DraftKings | 0.6% | 5.4% |
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Conclusion
For July 6, 2026, our World Cup prop bets feature players such as Tyler Adams, Renato Veiga and Sergino Dest. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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