Mercury vs. Tempo prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [6/27/2026]
Get Phoenix Mercury vs Toronto Tempo predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Toronto Tempo will square off with the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, beginning at 2:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Tempo as the most likely winner of the Mercury vs. Tempo game.
The Tempo, with stars such as Marina Mabrey, Isabelle Harrison and Maria Conde, will face off against the Mercury, featuring Kahleah Copper, Valeriane Ayayi and DeWanna Bonner.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Mercury vs. Tempo prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Tempo a 71.2% chance of defeating the Mercury.
According to our model, the Tempo (-5.5) have a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 176.5-point over/under has a 63.0% chance of staying under,.
Mercury vs. Tempo odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mercury | Tempo |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-106) | -5.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +190 | -205 |
| Total | o176.5 (-110) | u176.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mercury vs. Tempo picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tempo -5.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Tempo | -205 |
| Total | Under 176.5 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 176.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mercury vs. Tempo player props
WNBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Mercury vs. Tempo game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Scotiabank Arena.
Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 1 assists, while Marina Mabrey is projected to have 19 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Tempo.
When evaluating the first basket market, Marina Mabrey is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 16.6% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Mercury prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mercury are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 27 |
| Valeriane Ayayi | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| DeWanna Bonner | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25 |
| Alexa Held | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
| Noemie Brochant | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 22 |
Tempo prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | 19 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
| I. Harrison | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25 |
| Maria Conde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
| Laura Juskaite | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
| Nyara Sabally | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 |
Mercury vs. Tempo game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Tempo and Mercury at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo
- Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Tempo, with a 71.2% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
