Wings vs. Aces prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 21 points in Thursday's WNBA game [6/25/2026]
Get Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces predictions for WNBA Thursday.
WNBA action continues on Thursday at 10:00 PM ET as the Dallas Wings take on the favored Las Vegas Aces at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Aces as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Aces game.
The Aces, with the likes of A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray, are set to take on the Wings, who feature Paige Bueckers, Azzi Fudd and Jessica Shepard.
Bueckers, the Wings' No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 21 points and 1 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Wings vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Aces a 65.5% chance of defeating the Wings.
According to our model, the Wings (+5.5) have a 55.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 178.5 points has a 64.1% chance of staying under,.
Wings vs. Aces odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wings | Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-108) | -5.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +190 | -225 |
| Total | o178.5 (-110) | u178.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wings vs. Aces picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wings +5.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Wings | +190 |
| Total | Under 178.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wings vs. Aces player props
Looking for Wings vs. Aces WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 21 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 30 points, 9 rebounds and 4 assists for the Aces.
For early game action, the data identifies A'ja Wilson as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Wings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 21 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 39 |
| Azzi Fudd | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 29 |
| Jessica Shepard | 15 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 41 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| Awak Kuier | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
Aces prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 30 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 56 |
| Jackie Young | 18 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 40 |
| Chelsea Gray | 12 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 35 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| Jewell Loyd | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
Wings vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Aces and Wings at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with a 65.5% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
