Jun 24, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, June 24, 2026
Read Article Lynx vs. Mystics prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [6/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Washington Mystics predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Washington Mystics will take on the favored Minnesota Lynx in WNBA action at CareFirst Arena on Wednesday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Mystics game.
The Mystics, led by Sonia Citron, Shakira Austin and Kiki Iriafen, will face off against the Lynx, featuring Natasha Howard, Courtney Williams and Olivia Miles.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Mystics prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Lynx and Mystics, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lynx a 78.6% chance of beating the Mystics.
According to our model, the Mystics (+8.5) have a 52.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 169.5-point over/under has a 56.0% chance of staying under,.
Lynx vs. Mystics odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lynx | Mystics |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8.5 (-125) | +8.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -425 | +330 |
| Total | o169.5 (-110) | u169.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Mystics picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mystics +8.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Mystics | +330 |
| Total | Under 169.5 | -110 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 169.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Mystics player props
Looking for Lynx vs. Mystics WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at CareFirst Arena.
Natasha Howard is expected to lead the Lynx with 16 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Sonia Citron is projected to have 16 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists for the Mystics.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Kiki Iriafen as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Howard | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
| C. Williams | 15 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 36 |
| Olivia Miles | 15 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 34 |
| Kayla McBride | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| Nia Coffey | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
Mystics prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mystics:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonia Citron | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Shakira Austin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| Kiki Iriafen | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
| Cotie McMahon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
| Lauren Betts | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 |
Lynx vs. Mystics game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Mystics and Lynx at CareFirst Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics
- Date: Wednesday, June 24, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: CareFirst Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 78.6% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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