Fire vs. Sky prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Friday's WNBA game [6/26/2026]
Get Portland Fire vs Chicago Sky predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Chicago Sky and Portland Fire will lock horns in the WNBA at Wintrust Arena on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Sky as the most likely winner of the Fire vs. Sky game.
The Sky, who have the likes of Skylar Diggins-Smith, Sydney Taylor and Kamilla Cardoso, will face off against the Fire, who feature Carla Leite, Megan Gustafson and Bridget Carleton.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fire vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Sky a 67.6% chance of beating the Fire.
According to our model, the Sky (-4.5) have a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 173.5-point over/under has a 60.1% chance of staying under,.
Fire vs. Sky odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fire | Sky |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-108) | -4.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +160 | -190 |
| Total | o173.5 (-108) | u173.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fire vs. Sky picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sky -4.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Sky | -190 |
| Total | Under 173.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 173.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fire vs. Sky player props
Looking for Portland vs. Chicago WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.
Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 13 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Skylar Diggins-Smith is projected to have 16 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Sky.
When evaluating the first basket market, Megan Gustafson is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.7% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fire prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| Megan Gustafson | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| B. Carleton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
| Sarah Barker | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| Emily Engstler | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
Sky prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Diggins-Smith | 16 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 35 |
| Sydney Taylor | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 34 |
| Azura Stevens | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Gabriela Jaquez | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
Fire vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Sky and Fire at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Fire vs. Chicago Sky
- Date: Friday, June 26, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Wintrust Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sky, with a 67.6% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
