Sparks vs. Fever prediction: Why Indiana is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [6/27/2026]
Get Los Angeles Sparks vs Indiana Fever predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Indiana Fever will take on the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner of the Sparks vs. Fever game.
The Fever, who have stars such as Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Sophie Cunningham, are set to take on the Sparks, whose lineup includes Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Rae Burrell.
Fever superstar Cailtin Clark will miss the game though, with the USBWNT guard set to be on the sidelines for this one.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sparks vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Fever a 69.6% chance of defeating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Sparks (+6.5) have a 54.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 179.5 points has a 69.6% chance of staying under,.
Sparks vs. Fever odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sparks | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-106) | -6.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +235 | -270 |
| Total | o179.5 (-110) | u179.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sparks vs. Fever picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sparks +6.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Sparks | +235 |
| Total | Under 179.5 | -108 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 179.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sparks vs. Fever player props
WNBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Saturday's Sparks vs. Fever game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Dearica Hamby is expected to lead the Sparks with 19 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 26 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists for the Fever.
For early game action, the data identifies Kelsey Mitchell as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sparks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 40 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Rae Burrell | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Ariel Atkins | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Erica Wheeler | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
Fever prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 26 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 39 |
| Aliyah Boston | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 40 |
| S. Cunningham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| Tyasha Harris | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| M. Billings | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
Sparks vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Fever and Sparks at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 69.6% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
