WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, June 27, 2026
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/27.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Saturday, June 27, 2026—are live with the Tempo's Marina Mabrey projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections are based on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Mabrey, Kelsey Mitchell and Dominique Malonga lead Saturday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 27, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 16.0% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 15.9% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 15.4% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 14.7% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 14.3% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 12.8% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 12.1% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 12.0% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 11.6% |
| Nyara Sabally (Tempo) | 11.5% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 11.4% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 11.2% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 10.2% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 10.0% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 9.9% |
| Alexa Held (Mercury) | 9.6% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 8.9% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 8.6% |
| Laura Juskaite (Tempo) | 8.5% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 8.2% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 8.1% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 7.9% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 7.7% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.6% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 7.5% |
| Raven Johnson (Fever) | 7.3% |
| Valeriane Ayayi (Mercury) | 6.3% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 5.8% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 5.7% |
| Tyasha Harris (Fever) | 3.2% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 27, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 3.0% | +1000 | 12.1% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 2.3% | +1000 | 11.4% |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 1.2% | +900 | 11.2% |
| Noemie Brochant | Mercury | 0.4% | +950 | 10.0% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/27.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Saturday, June 27, 2026, Marina Mabrey, Kelsey Mitchell and Dominique Malonga lead our first basket projections, while Natisha Hiedeman shapes as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
